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Andrew Wilkie well clear in Denison while Labor vote halves

Submitted by ReachTEL on Fri, 29/06/2012 - 08:19
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In conjunction with The Australian, ReachTEL conducted a four-question survey of 644 residents in the Tasmanian Federal electorate of Denison on the night of the 27th June 2012. The results showed that Andrew Wilkie is well clear having doubled his primary vote since the 2010 Federal Election. In the same period, Labor has halved their primary vote thus avoiding the three-way race that occured at the election.

 


Andrew Wilkie way ahead in local polling - Matthew Denholm, The Australian


Key findings:

  • Andrew Wilkie is well clear with 40% of the primary vote thus avoiding the three-way race that occurred in 2010.
  • Since the Federal Election in 2010, Labor’s primary vote has halved while Andrew Wilkie’s vote has nearly doubled.
  • Nearly two-thirds of the electorate prefer Julia Gillard as Prime Minister over Tony Abbott.

 

Sample = 644 

Question 1:

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

 

Andrew Wilkie – Ind

40.0%

Labor candidate

16.8%

Liberal candidate

27.8%

Greens candidate

13.7%

Other

1.7%

 

                                                     

Two party preferred result:

 

 

Andrew Wilkie – Ind

65.1%

Liberal candidate

34.9%

 

Preference distribution methodology – Greens and Others distributed as per Denison Federal Election 2010 preferences and Labor preferences approximated at 75% to Andrew Wilkie and 25% to Liberal candidate.


Question 2:

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

 

 

Julia Gillard

63.4%

Tony Abbott

36.6%

 


Question 3:

With the introduction of the carbon tax do you think you will be financially better or worse off?

 

 

Better off

21.5%

About the same

42.2%

Worse off

36.2%

 

Question 4:

Thinking about Federal politics which of the following issues is most important to you?

 

 

Interest rates

6.2%

Health

23.5%

Education

11.8%

Economy

22.9%

Unemployment

6.0%

Leadership

8.8%

Environment

20.8%

 

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 644 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd. 

 

You can check out some of the polls we have previously conducted. If you are interested in running a political poll or general market research simply pick up the phone and talk to one of our analysts.