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Geoff Wilson in trouble in Ferny Grove

Submitted by ReachTEL on Thu, 24/11/2011 - 15:30
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ReachTEL has conducted a poll of 366 residents in state electorate of Ferny Grove. We asked a series of questions including primary and two-party voting intention and asked people to rate the performance of current Labor member Geoff Wilson and potential Premier Campbell Newman.

The polling was conducted using our fully automated voice broadcast market research capabilities. This gives us the ability to have audited research results back in our customer's hands in literally hours instead of days or even weeks.

 

Geoff Wilson in trouble in Ferny Grove:

Key findings:

 

• LNP candidate Dale Shuttleworth is well clear on the primary vote.

• The LNP is ahead on a two-party preferred basis with a very safe margin of 10.8%.

• Geoff Wilson would require a significant flow of preferences to reduce the LNP margin.

• Over half of the electorate rate Campbell Newman’s performance as LNP Leader as good or very good.

 

Sample size = 366

 

 

Question 1:

If a State election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

 

 

Geoff Wilson – ALP

29.5%

Dale Shuttleworth - LNP

53.1%

The Greens

10.5%

Katter’s Australian Party

5.5%

Any other party or candidate

1.4%

 

                                                                                                                               

Question 2:

If you were forced to make a choice between the following two candidates who would you choose?

 

 

 

Geoff Wilson – ALP

39.2%

Dale Shuttleworth – LNP

60.8%

 


Question 3:

Which is more important to you – supporting your local member or changing the State Government?

 

 

ALP Supporters

LNP Supporters

TOTAL

Support the local member

82.0%

6.3%

33.5%

Change the Government

18.0%

93.7%

66.5%

 

 

Question 4:

Please rate the performance of Geoff Wilson as Queensland Health Minister.

 

 

ALP Supporters

LNP Supporters

TOTAL

 Very good

65.7%

21.6%

13.2%

2.4%

32.1%

6.0%

Good

44.1%

10.7%

26.1%

Average

30.6%

33.7%

32.4%

Poor

3.6%

2.7%

53.2%

20.0%

35.5%

13.0%

Very Poor

0.9%

33.2%

22.5%

 

 

Question 5:

Please rate the performance of Campbell Newman as Leader of the Liberal-National Party.

 

 

ALP Supporters 

LNP Supporters

TOTAL

 Very good

18.9%

3.6%

83.4%

44.4%

54.8% 

27.4%

Good

15.3%

39.0%

27.4%

Average

31.5%

15.1%

22.5%

Poor

49.5% 

21.6%

1.5%

1.0%

22.7% 

11.6%

Very Poor

27.9%

0.5%

11.1%

 



 

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 366 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd. 

 

You can check out some of the polls we have previously conducted. If you are interested in running a political poll or general market research simply pick up the phone and talk to one of our analyists.