ReachTEL conducted a five-question survey of 2,856 residents across Australia on the night of 3rd May 2013.
Nationals ahead in Lyne but Rob Oakeshott within striking distance
Last night ReachTEL conducted a four-question survey of 539 residents in the New South Wales Federal electorate of Lyne. The results show that The Nationals are significantly ahead of Independent Rob Oakeshott on the primary vote but when preferences are taken into account, the race is much closer.
Key findings:
· The Nationals are significantly ahead of Independent Rob Oakeshott on the primary vote but a high “undecided” vote of 9.3% will play a big factor.
· Preferences from Labor and The Greens means a much tighter contest on a two party preferred basis.
· Nearly two thirds of those polled think Tony Abbott is the better Prime Minister over Julia Gillard.
Sample = 539
Question 1:
If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?
| Rob Oakeshott – Ind | 28.0% |
| Nationals candidate | 47.2% |
| Labor candidate | 7.7% |
| Greens candidate | 4.8% |
| KAP candidate | 1.7% |
| CDP candidate | 1.2% |
| Undecided | 9.3% |
Two party preferred result based on 2010 election distribution
| Rob Oakeshott – Ind | 44.6% |
| Nationals candidate | 55.4% |
Question 2:
Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?
| Julia Gillard | 34.9% |
| Tony Abbott | 65.1% |
Question 3:
With the introduction of the carbon tax do you think you will be financially better or worse off?
| Better off | 11.0% |
| About the same | 28.0% |
| Worse off | 61.0% |
Question 4:
Thinking about Federal politics which of the following issues is most important to you?
| Interest rates | 6.8% |
| Health | 20.0% |
| Education | 12.2% |
| Economy | 31.5% |
| Unemployment | 4.7% |
| Leadership | 12.8% |
| Environment | 11.9% |
This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 539 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.
You can check out some of the polls we have previously conducted. If you are interested in running a political poll or general market research simply pick up the phone and talk to one of our analysts.
