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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 805 residents in the Queensland State electorate of Ashgrove on the 22nd of July 2014.

 

7 News

Question 1:

If a State election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

LNP

41.7%

43.5%

39.7%

47.7%

37.6%

35.7%

46.4%

Labor

43.2%

44.5%

41.8%

34.8%

46.9%

50.3%

42.9%

The Greens

7.8%

7.7%

7.9%

11.4%

9.3%

3.5%

2.7%

Palmer United Party

4.1%

1.9%

6.4%

4.2%

1.9%

7.0%

4.5%

Other

3.2%

2.4%

4.1%

1.9%

4.3%

3.5%

3.6%

 

Two party preferred result based on 2012 election distribution

 

 

LNP 

47% 

Labor 

53% 

 

Question 2:

Please consider this scenario:

If a State election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

LNP – Campbell Newman

39.1%

40.8%

37.4%

42.4%

35.4%

34.5%

45.9%

Labor – Kate Jones

47.5%

46.8%

48.2%

37.5%

53.3%

55.0%

46.8%

The Greens

7.5%

7.9%

7.2%

15.2%

4.7%

4.1%

1.8%

Palmer United Party

2.7%

1.2%

4.1%

1.9%

1.6%

4.7%

3.6%

Other

3.3%

3.4%

3.1%

3.0%

5.1%

1.8%

1.8%

 

Two party preferred result based on 2012 election distribution

 

 

LNP 

44% 

Labor 

56% 

 

Question 2a:

Of the following, what is your primary reason for not voting for Campbell Newman?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

9.9%

10.6%

9.4%

7.9%

10.2%

9.0%

16.9%

Performance as a local member

8.8%

10.6%

7.0%

5.3%

9.0%

11.7%

10.2%

Performance as Premier

26.9%

26.4%

27.0%

39.7%

19.2%

25.2%

20.3%

Style of leadership

28.3%

31.3%

25.4%

21.9%

33.5%

28.8%

30.5%

Proposed asset sales

16.0%

9.8%

22.1%

16.6%

14.4%

18.0%

15.3%

Other

10.0%

11.4%

9.0%

8.6%

13.8%

7.2%

6.8%

 

 

Total

Lab

Greens

PUP

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

9.9%

8.9%

19.7%

4.5%

Performance as a local member

8.8%

10.5%

0.0%

13.6%

Performance as Premier

26.9%

24.7%

55.7%

13.6%

Style of leadership

28.3%

31.5%

9.8%

36.4%

Proposed asset sales

16.0%

16.8%

11.5%

18.2%

Other

10.0%

7.6%

3.3%

13.6%

Note: Only respondents who didn’t vote for LNP in Question 2 were asked Question 2a.

 

Question 3:

Please rate the performance of Campbell Newman as the local member for Ashgrove.

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very good

23.8%

25.7%

21.9%

30.7%

19.0%

19.4%

25.7% 

Good

18.8%

18.9%

18.8%

22.3%

19.8%

13.5%

16.8% 

Satisfactory

17.8%

17.5%

18.3%

8.3%

23.3%

23.5%

19.5%

Poor

12.4%

11.5%

13.4%

6.1%

10.5%

22.4%

15.9%

Very poor

27.1%

26.4%

27.8%

32.6%

27.5%

21.2%

22.1%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Very good

23.8%

53.0%

2.9%

15.0%

9.5%

Good

18.8%

33.7%

6.3%

11.7%

9.5%

Satisfactory

17.8%

10.5%

23.5%

20.0%

14.3%

Poor

12.4%

2.9%

21.1%

8.3%

14.3%

Very poor

27.1%

 0.0%

46.2%

45.0%

52.4%

 

Question 4:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Premier?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Campbell Newman

39.6% 

39.1% 

40.1%

41.3%

38.8%

35.9%

43.8%

Jeff Seeney

6.0%

7.9%

3.9%

5.3%

7.8%

6.5%

2.7%

Tim Nicholls

9.8%

10.3%

9.3%

7.2%

10.5%

12.4%

10.7%

John-Paul Langebroek

13.2%

12.7%

13.9%

11.0%

14.7%

14.7%

13.4%

Lawrence Springborg

25.8%

24.2%

27.5%

27.7%

23.6%

27.1%

24.1%

Jarrod Bleijie

5.6%

5.8%

5.4%

7.6%

4.7%

3.5%

5.4%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Campbell Newman

39.6%

85.7%

10.2%

1.6%

19.0%

Jeff Seeney

6.0%

2.9%

9.7%

3.3%

0.0%  

Tim Nicholls

9.8%

2.9%

12.8%

26.2%

14.3%

John-Paul Langebroek

13.2%

3.8%

18.3%

21.3%

42.9%

Lawrence Springborg

25.8%

4.8%

41.9%

19.7%

19.0%

Jarrod Bleijie

5.6%

0.0% 

7.1%

27.9%

4.8%

 

Question 5:

Are you more or less likely to vote for Campbell Newman as a result of the Government’s policy reversals this week?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

More likely

17.2%

22.6%

11.3%

22.7%

14.0%

14.6%

15.2%

Less likely

24.9%

20.9%

29.1%

29.2%

19.8%

25.1%

25.9%

Vote unchanged

58.0%

56.5%

59.5%

48.1%

66.3%

60.2%

58.9%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

PUP

More likely

17.2%

28.9%

9.9%

4.9%

9.1%

Less likely

24.9%

8.6%

35.9%

41.0%

40.9%

Vote unchanged

58.0%

62.5%

54.2%

54.1%

50.0%

 

Question 6:

Regardless of your voting intention, based on their performance over the past two years, do you think the Liberal National Party deserves to be reelected?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Yes

41.7%

42.1%

41.4%

47.7%

37.6%

35.9%

46.4%

No

52.1%

52.9%

51.4%

48.1%

54.7%

56.5%

48.2%

Undecided

6.2%

5.0%

7.2%

4.2%

7.8%

7.6%

5.4%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Yes

41.7%

95.6%

4.2%

3.3%

14.3%

No

52.1%

0.6%

88.7%

91.8%

71.4%

Undecided

6.2%

3.8%

7.1%

4.9%

14.3%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 805 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by age & gender to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.