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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 631 residents in the Queensland State electorate of Ashgrove on the 28th of September 2014.

 

7 News

Question 1:

Please consider this scenario:

If a State election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

Total

LNP – Campbell Newman

41.1%

Labor – Kate Jones

52.2%

The Greens

3.5%

Palmer United Party

1.7%

Other

1.4%

Two party preferred result based on 2012 election distribution

 

 

LNP 

44% 

Labor

56%

 

Question 2:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Premier?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Campbell Newman

42.5%

37.1%

48.1%

38.3%

43.6%

41.3%

51.7%

Jeff Seeney

9.4%

13.1%

5.5%

12.9%

10.4%

5.8%

3.4%

Tim Nicholls

7.6%

6.9%

8.4%

3.5%

11.9%

7.2%

9.0%

John-Paul Langbroek

13.3%

12.5%

14.2%

14.9%

12.9%

13.8%

10.1%

Lawrence Springborg

19.3%

20.9%

17.7%

17.9%

16.3%

26.1%

19.1%

Jarrod Bleijie

7.9%

9.7%

6.1%

12.4%

5.0%

5.8%

6.7%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Campbell Newman

42.5%

88.1%

10.6%

Jeff Seeney

9.4%

1.2%

14.6%

Tim Nicholls

7.6%

2.7%

11.6%

John-Paul Langbroek

13.3%

3.5%

20.1%

Lawrence Springborg

19.3%

4.2%

29.8%

Jarrod Bleijie

7.9%

0.4%

13.4%

 

Question 3:

What is your opinion of Campbell Newman?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Favourable

34.0%

31.6%

36.6%

26.4%

32.8%

37.2%

50.0%

Neutral

12.9%

11.6%

14.2%

9.5%

17.2%

12.4%

11.4%

Unfavourable

52.9%

56.9%

48.9%

64.2%

50.0%

49.6%

38.6%

Never heard of this person

0.2%

 0.0%

0.3%

 0.0%

 0.0%

0.7%

 0.0%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Favourable

34.0%

81.8%

0.0% 

Neutral

12.9%

16.7%

9.1%

Unfavourable

52.9%

1.2%

90.6%

Never heard of this person

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

 

Question 4:

What is your opinion of Kate Jones?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Favourable

58.2%

61.1%

55.2%

67.3%

55.9%

54.3%

46.7%

Neutral

14.9%

15.3%

14.5%

9.9%

15.2%

17.4%

23.3%

Unfavourable

25.8%

22.7%

29.0%

22.8%

26.5%

28.3%

27.8%

Never heard of this person

1.1%

0.9%

1.3%

 0.0%

2.5%

0.0%

2.2%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Favourable

58.2%

13.5%

92.4%

Neutral

14.9%

27.8%

4.6%

Unfavourable

25.8%

57.1%

2.1%

Never heard of this person

1.1%

1.5%

0.9%

 

Question 5:

Has Kate Jones’ announcement to run for Labor pre selection in Ashgrove made you more or less likely to vote Campbell Newman?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

More likely

29.2%

26.3%

32.3%

25.4%

28.6%

31.4%

37.1%

Less likely

42.5%

46.6%

38.4%

50.2%

40.9%

40.9%

31.5%

Vote unchanged

28.3%

27.2%

29.4%

24.4%

30.5%

27.7%

31.5%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

More likely

29.2%

63.6%

5.5%

Less likely

42.5%

6.2%

68.5%

Vote unchanged

28.3%

30.2%

26.1%

 

Question 6:

Regardless of your voting intention, based on their performance over the past two years, do you think the Liberal National Party deserves to be reelected?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Yes

41.0%

36.8%

45.5%

32.8%

41.7%

42.8%

55.1%

No

51.0%

54.5%

47.4%

58.2%

52.5%

47.1%

37.1%

Undecided

7.9%

8.7%

7.1%

9.0%

5.9%

10.1%

7.9%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Yes

41.0%

94.2%

4.0%

No

51.0%

 0.0%

89.4%

Undecided

7.9%

5.8%

6.7%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 631 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by age & gender to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.