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14 May 2015

7 News - National Poll - 13 May 2015

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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 3,180 residents across Australia during the evening of 13th May 2015.

 

7 News

Question 1:

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

 

18th Sep

23rd Oct

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb

29th March

23rd April

13th May

 

2013 Election

Liberal

37.0%

36.1%

36.1%

35.5%

34.4%

35.4%

35.7%

37.1%

 

41.3%

The Nationals

4.6%

4.0%

4.1%

4.2%

4.0%

4.2%

4.1%

4.0%

 

4.3%

Labor

37.4%

37.5%

38.7%

40.2%

41.4%

40.5%

39.3%

38.3%

 

33.4%

The Greens

10.5%

11.5%

11.1%

11.3%

11.2%

11.5%

11.9%

12.1%

 

8.6%

Palmer United

5.3%

5.1%

3.1%

2.9%

2.7%

2.2%

2.2%

2.2%

 

5.5%

Other

5.2%

5.8%

6.8%

5.9%

6.2%

6.3%

6.8%

6.4%

 

6.9%

 

Two party preferred result based on 2013 election distribution

 

 

18th Sep

23rd Oct

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb

29th March

23rd April

13th May 

Lib/Nat

49%

48%

47%

46%

45%

46%

46%

47% 

Labor

51%

52%

53%

54%

55%

54%

54%

53% 

 

Question 2:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

 

13th May 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Tony Abbott

42.8% 

90.0%

4.9%

5.5%

42.3%

43.3%

34.2%

42.9%

45.7% 

54.2% 

Bill Shorten

57.2% 

10.0% 

95.1% 

94.5%

57.7%

56.7%

65.8%

57.1% 

54.3% 

45.8% 

 

 

Question 3:

Please rate the performance of Tony Abbott as Prime Minister?

 

 

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb

29th Mar

23rd Apr

13th May

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

18.5%

9.8%

10.7%

11.9%

11.1%

13.7%

28.1%

 

30.6%

0.8%

1.3%

Good

12.6%

11.8%

10.4%

12.7%

13.8%

14.4%

 

30.9% 

3.2% 

1.0%

Satisfactory

16.8%

16.7%

16.2%

16.9%

23.0%

21.8%

21.8%

 

28.0% 

16.6% 

16.1%

Poor

16.0%

21.1%

16.5%

17.6%

21.5%

18.7%

50.0%

 

7.1% 

29.1% 

18.7%

Very poor

36.1%

40.5%

46.2%

40.9%

30.6%

31.3%

 

3.4% 

50.3% 

63.0%

 

Question 4:

Please rate the performance of Bill Shorten as Leader of the Opposition?

 

 

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb

29th Mar

23rd Apr

13th May

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

8.1%

9.3%

9.0%

8.4%

8.5%

9.0%

23.4%

 

3.8%

15.4%

9.4%

Good

13.2%

17.8%

16.1%

15.8%

16.5%

14.4%

 

6.0% 

25.9%

12.2%

Satisfactory

41.0%

34.6%

35.6%

35.7%

34.0%

37.4%

37.4%

 

26.1%

48.6%

41.3%

Poor

20.5%

20.3%

20.0%

19.9%

23.1%

21.9%

39.2%

 

29.8%

9.5%

30.9%

Very poor

17.2%

18.0%

19.3%

20.2%

18.0%

17.3%

 

34.3%

0.6%

6.2%

 

Question 5:

Which of the following best describes your employment status?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Small business owner

17.7%

17.2%

18.2%

21.9%

19.1%

18.7%

6.1%

Pensioner or retiree

27.9%

28.9%

26.8%

6.1%

10.0%

36.9%

87.1%

Blue collar worker

15.1%

13.0%

17.2%

22.4%

17.2%

11.8%

2.3%

White collar worker

31.7%

34.6%

28.6%

36.4%

46.4%

27.4%

2.5%

Unemployed

7.7%

6.3%

9.2%

13.2%

7.4%

5.2%

2.1%

 

Vote intention by employment status:

 

Small business owner

Pensioner or retiree

Blue collar worker

White collar worker

Unemployed

Liberal / National

60.6%

43.6%

30.3%

36.5%

26.4%

Labor

27.5%

42.9%

38.3%

38.5%

44.7%

The Greens

7.7%

7.0%

18.4%

13.7%

22.0%

Palmer United 

3.0%

1.0%

2.9%

2.2%

2.8%

Other

1.2%

5.4%

10.0%

9.0%

4.1%

 

Question 6:

Thinking about the federal budget announced last night; do you think you and your family will be financially better or worse off as a result?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Better off

16.4%

15.8%

17.1%

16.1%

17.3%

15.6%

16.5%

Worse off

30.3%

28.8%

31.8%

33.4%

31.2%

30.4%

22.5%

About the same

53.3%

55.4%

51.1%

50.5%

51.5%

53.9%

61.0%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Other

Better off

16.4%

34.1%

2.8%

6.0%

14.5%

4.9%

Worse off

30.3%

12.1%

44.8%

33.8%

49.3%

47.1%

About the same

53.3%

53.8%

52.4%

60.3%

36.2%

48.0%

 

 

Total

Small business owner

Pensioner or retiree

Blue collar

White collar

Unemployed

Better off

16.4%

39.0%

13.8%

13.2%

9.2%

10.2%

Worse off

30.3%

20.7%

31.2%

36.1%

30.3%

37.4%

About the same

53.3%

40.3%

55.0%

50.7%

60.5%

52.4%

 

Question 7:

Compared to last years budget, how would you rate the budget announced last night?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very strong

10.3%

9.0%

11.7%

11.7%

9.5%

8.3%

12.0%

Strong

23.2%

23.4%

23.0%

15.7%

24.3%

26.6%

30.4%

Average

41.4%

45.8%

36.9%

42.1%

41.3%

41.1%

41.0%

Weak

13.9%

13.8%

13.9%

10.8%

15.5%

17.0%

12.3%

Very weak

11.1%

7.9%

14.6%

19.6%

9.4%

7.1%

4.4%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Other

Very strong

10.3%

23.0%

1.6%

0.5%

7.4%

0.5%

Strong

23.2%

42.8%

10.9%

7.5%

4.4%

6.4%

Average

41.4%

28.7%

49.8%

51.2%

27.9%

59.3%

Weak

13.9%

2.6%

22.6%

18.7%

38.2%

17.2%

Very weak

11.1%

2.8%

15.0%

22.1%

22.1%

16.7%

 

 

Total

Small business owner

Pensioner or retiree

Blue collar

White collar

Unemployed

Very strong

10.3%

19.0%

9.5%

9.6%

7.4%

6.5%

Strong

23.2%

27.9%

28.8%

16.5%

22.0%

10.2%

Average

41.4%

31.5%

41.6%

44.3%

43.5%

49.6%

Weak

13.9%

8.0%

12.9%

16.7%

16.3%

15.9%

Very weak

11.1%

13.5%

7.2%

12.9%

10.7%

17.9%

 

Question 8:

Who of the following do you think has done the best job promoting the Federal budget?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Tony Abbott

11.7%

11.4%

12.1%

9.6%

14.4%

11.9%

10.6%

Joe Hockey

44.8%

47.6%

41.9%

45.5%

48.4%

43.6%

38.8%

Scott Morrison

43.4%

41.0%

45.9%

44.9%

37.2%

44.5%

50.7%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Other

Tony Abbott

11.7%

17.9%

8.0%

6.2%

5.9%

7.4%

Joe Hockey

44.8%

54.0%

36.0%

49.9%

35.3%

31.9%

Scott Morrison

43.4%

28.1%

56.0%

43.9%

58.8%

60.8%

 

 

Total

Small business owner

Pensioner or retiree

Blue collar

White collar

Unemployed

Tony Abbott

11.7%

13.9%

11.4%

7.9%

13.3%

9.0%

Joe Hockey

44.8%

51.2%

38.8%

39.9%

47.5%

50.6%

Scott Morrison

43.4%

34.9%

49.8%

52.2%

39.2%

40.4%

 

Question 9:

If you were forced to choose between the following two groups, which do you think has benefited most out of this years Federal budget?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Families

20.0%

22.6%

17.2%

19.4%

17.6%

20.5%

24.4%

Businesses

80.0%

77.4%

82.8%

80.6%

82.4%

79.5%

75.6%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Other

Families

20.0%

29.0%

14.9%

13.3%

7.4%

9.3%

Businesses

80.0%

71.0%

85.1%

86.7%

92.6%

90.7%

 

 

Total

Small business owner

Pensioner or retiree

Blue collar

White collar

Unemployed

Families

20.0%

22.1%

23.4%

15.1%

19.9%

12.2%

Businesses

80.0%

77.9%

76.6%

84.9%

80.1%

87.8%

 

 

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 3,180 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.