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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,349 residents across Australia during the evening of 23rd June 2016.

 

7 News

Question 1:

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote?

 

 

5th May

19th May

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

23rd June *

 

2013 Election

Liberal

37.8%

36.0%

35.2%

35.3% 

35.6%

36.8%

36.4% 

37.9%

 

41.3%

The Nationals

2.4%

2.6%

2.8%

2.9%

3.6%

4.4%

4.0%

4.4%

 

4.3%

Labor

33.1%

34.2%

33.3%

32.9%

31.6%

31.0%

31.7%

33.7%

 

33.4%

The Greens

8.6%

9.8%

8.8%

9.5%

8.7%

8.5%

9.2%

10.5%

 

8.6%

Nick Xenophon Team

3.8%

2.2%

3.5%

4.3%

4.1%

3.5%

1.4%

1.4%

 

5.5%

Other

5.8%

6.7%

6.8%

6.6%

8.3%

8.0%

10.1%

11.9%

 

6.9%

Undecided

8.5%

8.6%

9.6%

8.5%

8.2%

7.8%

7.2%

 

 

 

* Undecided voters were asked a follow-up question on who they would have even a slight leaning towards.

* Following the finalisation of candidates in each state, Nick Xenophon Team was removed from the read-out in all states except South Australia.

 

Two party preferred

 

 

5th May

19th May

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

Liberal / National

50%

50%

48%

50%

50%

51%

51%

Labor

50%

50%

52%

50%

50%

49%

49%

* Preferences are based on respondent allocated preferences.

 

 

Question 2:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

 

 

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

 

Female

Male

Malcolm Turnbull

55.6%

55.4%

57.6%

58.4%

95.5%

15.6%

38.7%

66.3%

 

56.9%

59.9%

Bill Shorten

44.4%

44.6%

42.4%

41.6%

4.5%

84.4%

61.3%

33.7%

 

43.1%

40.1%

 

 

28th Aug

Tony Abbott

42.1%

Bill Shorten

57.9%

 

Question 3:

Please rate the performance of Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister?

 

 

5th May

19th May

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

9.7%

7.9%

11.3%

9.7%

11.4%

10.8%

11.5%

33.5%

 

22.9%

1.7%

3.7%

Good

18.4%

20.7%

18.1%

16.6%

16.9%

16.6%

22.0%

 

40.4%

10.3%

6.9%

Satisfactory

37.5%

36.2%

33.8%

33.0%

34.2%

36.2%

33.2%

33.2%

 

29.5%

32.8%

36.7%

Poor

20.4%

20.1%

21.2%

22.9%

21.4%

20.3%

17.2%

33.3%

 

4.1%

27.3%

32.1%

Very poor

14.1%

15.0%

15.6%

17.9%

16.0%

16.0%

16.1%

 

3.1%

27.8%

20.6%

 

Question 4:

Please rate the performance of Bill Shorten as Leader of the Opposition?

 

 

5th May

19th May

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

8.9%

8.7%

9.9%

9.3%

9.3%

12.0%

11.4%

30.7%

 

3.5%

27.6%

7.4%

Good

15.7%

19.2%

19.2%

19.7%

18.2%

17.6%

19.3%

 

9.1%

35.5%

26.3%

Satisfactory

31.5%

33.7%

34.0%

31.5%

33.9%

30.7%

31.6%

31.6%

 

23.9%

29.7%

43.8%

Poor

22.7%

19.3%

17.2%

20.4%

20.2%

20.5%

18.5%

37.8%

 

30.0%

5.0%

13.4%

Very poor

21.3%

19.1%

19.7%

19.2%

18.4%

19.2%

19.3%

 

33.5%

2.2%

9.2%

 

 

Question 5:

With one week from election day, regardless of how you said you would vote, what do you think the outcome of the election will be?

 

23rd June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Coalition win

49.6%

47.9%

51.4%

43.3%

49.4%

49.4%

61.5%

Labor win

22.3%

23.5%

21.1%

27.2%

26.1%

18.5%

12.3%

Hung parliament

28.1%

28.6%

27.5%

29.5%

24.5%

32.2%

26.3%

 

 

23rd June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Coalition win

49.6%

78.7%

25.0%

35.0%

35.9%

Labor win

22.3%

3.9%

50.9%

16.1%

28.2%

Hung parliament

28.1%

17.4%

24.1%

48.8%

35.9%

 

Question 6:

Do you believe that Malcolm Turnbull will keep his promise and not privatise Medicare?

 

23rd June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Yes

47.6%

44.0%

51.4%

40.1%

49.4%

47.3%

58.1%

No

36.0%

39.1%

32.8%

39.0%

37.4%

36.9%

27.4%

Unsure

16.4%

16.9%

15.9%

21.0%

13.3%

15.7%

14.5%

 

 

23rd June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Yes

47.6%

80.9%

16.0%

33.2%

30.6%

No

36.0%

5.3%

69.8%

47.0%

34.7%

Unsure

16.4%

13.8%

14.2%

19.8%

34.7%

 

Question 7:

When deciding on who you’ll vote for, approximately when do you make up your mind?

 

23rd June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Well before election campaign

56.1%

54.9%

57.3%

52.4%

57.4%

57.5%

58.5%

During the election campaign

23.2%

24.1%

22.3%

24.2%

21.1%

23.4%

25.0%

In the week leading up to the election

12.7%

13.1%

12.4%

10.8%

15.0%

12.6%

12.5%

On election day

4.5%

4.4%

4.6%

7.2%

3.2%

4.2%

2.3%

Just before you vote

3.4%

3.5%

3.4%

5.4%

3.3%

2.4%

1.8%

 

 

23rd June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Well before election campaign

56.1%

66.4%

58.1%

41.0%

17.2%

During the election campaign

23.2%

20.5%

23.7%

35.5%

15.4%

In the week leading up to the election

12.7%

7.8%

13.5%

8.8%

40.2%

On election day

4.5%

3.5%

3.0%

8.3%

13.0%

Just before you vote

3.4%

1.8%

1.7%

6.5%

14.2%

  

Question 8:

Which of the following two parties do you trust most to manage the issue of border protection?

 

19th May

26th May

9th June

23rd June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Coalition

55.7%

55.9%

57.8%

60.6%

54.4%

67.2%

51.1%

62.8%

63.0%

70.3%

Labor

44.3%

44.1%

42.2%

39.4%

45.6%

32.8%

48.9%

37.2%

37.0%

29.7%

 

 

19th May

26th May

9th June

23rd June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Coalition

55.7%

55.9%

57.8%

60.6%

95.8%

23.4%

24.9%

63.9%

Labor

44.3%

44.1%

42.2%

39.4%

4.2%

76.6%

75.1%

36.1%

 

Question 9:

When deciding who to vote for at the upcoming federal election, which of the following issues will influence your decision most?

 

2nd June

16th June

23rd June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Education

12.6%

11.8%

12.0%

15.0%

8.9%

15.7%

13.2%

8.6%

8.3%

Creating jobs

16.7%

16.6%

14.2%

12.1%

16.4%

12.2%

17.8%

14.1%

11.5%

Health services

20.6%

19.1%

21.4%

24.9%

17.6%

22.1%

21.3%

22.6%

18.8%

Management of the economy

23.8%

29.8%

29.9%

26.7%

33.3%

20.8%

29.6%

35.0%

39.3%

Border protection and asylum seekers

8.8%

8.0%

7.6%

8.6%

6.6%

8.9%

5.8%

6.2%

10.5%

Roads and infrastructure

4.0%

3.6%

2.9%

1.4%

4.5%

4.8%

2.9%

1.3%

1.5%

Climate change and the environment

13.4%

11.0%

12.0%

11.3%

12.8%

15.4%

9.4%

12.2%

10.3%

 

 

2nd June

16th June

23rd June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Undecided

Education

12.6%

11.8%

12.0%

4.7%

21.9%

14.4%

10.7%

Creating jobs

16.7%

16.6%

14.2%

15.0%

17.3%

6.9%

11.9%

Health services

20.6%

19.1%

21.4%

9.8%

34.5%

17.6%

23.8%

Management of the economy

23.8%

29.8%

29.9%

55.2%

7.9%

9.7%

24.4%

Border protection and asylum seekers

8.8%

8.0%

7.6%

8.7%

2.2%

11.6%

2.4%

Roads and infrastructure

4.0%

3.6%

2.9%

2.5%

3.5%

4.2%

1.2%

Climate change and the environment

13.4%

11.0%

12.0%

4.0%

12.6%

35.6%

25.6%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,349 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.