ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,907 residents across Australia during the evening of 25th June 2015.
Question 1:
If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?
|
|
23rd Oct |
20th Nov |
27th Jan |
5th Feb |
29th March |
23rd April |
13th May |
25th June |
|
2013 Election |
|
Liberal |
36.1% |
36.1% |
35.5% |
34.4% |
35.4% |
35.7% |
37.1% |
37.7% |
|
41.3% |
|
The Nationals |
4.0% |
4.1% |
4.2% |
4.0% |
4.2% |
4.1% |
4.0% |
4.2% |
|
4.3% |
|
Labor |
37.5% |
38.7% |
40.2% |
41.4% |
40.5% |
39.3% |
38.3% |
37.0% |
|
33.4% |
|
The Greens |
11.5% |
11.1% |
11.3% |
11.2% |
11.5% |
11.9% |
12.1% |
13.1% |
|
8.6% |
|
Palmer |
5.1% |
3.1% |
2.9% |
2.7% |
2.2% |
2.2% |
2.2% |
1.3% |
|
5.5% |
|
Other |
5.8% |
6.8% |
5.9% |
6.2% |
6.3% |
6.8% |
6.4% |
6.7% |
|
6.9% |
Two party preferred result based on 2013 election distribution
|
|
23rd Oct |
20th Nov |
27th Jan |
5th Feb |
29th March |
23rd April |
13th May |
25th June |
|
Lib/Nat |
48% |
47% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
47% |
48% |
|
Labor |
52% |
53% |
54% |
55% |
54% |
54% |
53% |
52% |
Question 2:
Who of the following do you think would make the better Prime Minister?
|
|
25th June |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Tony Abbott |
43.7% |
92.0% |
4.4% |
6.0% |
41.8% |
45.8% |
32.2% |
44.7% |
47.1% |
56.9% |
|
Bill Shorten |
56.3% |
8.0% |
95.6% |
94.0% |
58.2% |
54.2% |
67.8% |
55.3% |
52.9% |
43.1% |
Question 3:
Please rate the performance of Tony Abbott as Prime Minister?
|
|
27th Jan |
5th Feb |
29th Mar |
23rd Apr |
13th May |
25th June |
|
|
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
|
Very good |
9.8% |
10.7% |
11.9% |
11.1% |
13.7% |
13.8% |
27.5% |
|
32.5% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
|
Good |
11.8% |
10.4% |
12.7% |
13.8% |
14.4% |
13.7% |
|
29.5% |
2.4% |
0.8% |
|
|
Satisfactory |
16.7% |
16.2% |
16.9% |
23.0% |
21.8% |
20.0% |
20.0% |
|
28.0% |
15.1% |
10.2% |
|
Poor |
21.1% |
16.5% |
17.6% |
21.5% |
18.7% |
17.3% |
52.5% |
|
7.7% |
24.7% |
18.7% |
|
Very poor |
40.5% |
46.2% |
40.9% |
30.6% |
31.3% |
35.2% |
|
2.2% |
57.4% |
70.1% |
Question 4:
Please rate the performance of Bill Shorten as Leader of the Opposition?
|
|
27th Jan |
5th Feb |
29th Mar |
23rd Apr |
13th May |
25th June |
|
|
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
|
Very good |
9.3% |
9.0% |
8.4% |
8.5% |
9.0% |
8.1% |
20.0% |
|
1.0% |
19.0% |
2.1% |
|
Good |
17.8% |
16.1% |
15.8% |
16.5% |
14.4% |
11.9% |
|
5.2% |
19.6% |
16.0% |
|
|
Satisfactory |
34.6% |
35.6% |
35.7% |
34.0% |
37.4% |
33.8% |
33.8% |
|
21.2% |
45.5% |
38.6% |
|
Poor |
20.3% |
20.0% |
19.9% |
23.1% |
21.9% |
22.9% |
46.2% |
|
30.3% |
12.2% |
32.0% |
|
Very poor |
18.0% |
19.3% |
20.2% |
18.0% |
17.3% |
23.3% |
|
42.3% |
3.7% |
11.3% |
Question 5:
How would you rate your confidence in the Australian political system?
|
|
Total |
|
|
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Very high |
6.4% |
26.4% |
|
4.0% |
9.0% |
6.8% |
7.5% |
4.5% |
6.7% |
|
High |
20.0% |
|
20.3% |
19.7% |
19.9% |
18.2% |
20.1% |
23.0% |
|
|
Average |
41.4% |
41.4% |
|
44.0% |
38.7% |
40.9% |
39.9% |
41.8% |
44.4% |
|
Low |
17.0% |
32.2% |
|
17.5% |
16.5% |
12.4% |
18.3% |
20.7% |
17.5% |
|
Very low |
15.2% |
|
14.3% |
16.1% |
20.0% |
16.0% |
13.0% |
8.3% |
|
|
Total |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Other |
|
Very high |
6.4% |
9.3% |
5.4% |
1.6% |
2.6% |
|
High |
20.0% |
31.0% |
13.4% |
11.3% |
7.7% |
|
Average |
41.4% |
43.3% |
46.6% |
33.8% |
22.1% |
|
Low |
17.0% |
11.0% |
17.3% |
31.2% |
24.1% |
|
Very low |
15.2% |
5.4% |
17.3% |
22.3% |
43.6% |
Question 6:
If you were forced to choose, which of the following two parties do you trust most to handle the issue of national security?
|
|
Total |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Lib/Nat Coalition |
52.6% |
48.7% |
56.8% |
47.5% |
52.8% |
52.5% |
61.3% |
|
Labor |
47.4% |
51.3% |
43.2% |
52.5% |
47.2% |
47.5% |
38.7% |
|
|
Total |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Other |
|
Lib / Nat Coalition |
52.6% |
96.6% |
17.5% |
17.1% |
45.6% |
|
Labor |
47.4% |
3.4% |
82.5% |
82.9% |
54.4% |
Question 7:
Do you support or oppose the proposal to remove the citizenship of dual nationals suspected of joining terrorist groups overseas and those convicted of a terrorist offence here in Australia?
|
|
Total |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Support |
66.1% |
64.3% |
67.9% |
53.4% |
73.8% |
67.6% |
72.4% |
|
Oppose |
17.2% |
16.3% |
18.0% |
22.2% |
16.4% |
15.7% |
12.1% |
|
Undecided |
16.8% |
19.4% |
14.1% |
24.4% |
9.9% |
16.7% |
15.5% |
|
|
Total |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Other |
|
Support |
66.1% |
86.6% |
57.4% |
28.3% |
57.9% |
|
Oppose |
17.2% |
3.0% |
19.7% |
48.7% |
29.7% |
|
Undecided |
16.8% |
10.4% |
22.9% |
23.0% |
12.3% |
Question 8:
Are you aware of the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement?
|
|
Total |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Very aware |
14.0% |
9.0% |
19.3% |
16.1% |
14.5% |
13.5% |
10.3% |
|
Somewhat aware |
42.6% |
42.2% |
43.1% |
32.3% |
45.8% |
49.3% |
45.8% |
|
Unaware |
43.4% |
48.9% |
37.7% |
51.6% |
39.7% |
37.2% |
43.8% |
|
|
Total |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Other |
|
Very aware |
14.0% |
12.2% |
12.4% |
20.5% |
20.0% |
|
Somewhat aware |
42.6% |
45.4% |
41.5% |
43.0% |
33.8% |
|
Unaware |
43.4% |
42.4% |
46.1% |
36.5% |
46.2% |
Question 9:
The next federal election is not due until late next year. When would you like to see the election held?
|
|
Total |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Before the end of 2015 |
33.3% |
34.5% |
32.1% |
43.5% |
36.5% |
24.6% |
22.8% |
|
Early in 2016 |
24.2% |
27.4% |
20.9% |
23.5% |
22.4% |
25.4% |
26.7% |
|
Mid to late 2016 |
42.5% |
38.1% |
47.0% |
33.0% |
41.1% |
50.0% |
50.5% |
|
|
Total |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Other |
|
Before the end of 2015 |
33.3% |
16.0% |
42.7% |
57.5% |
38.7% |
|
Early in 2016 |
24.2% |
20.0% |
30.0% |
23.9% |
22.2% |
|
Mid to late 2016 |
42.5% |
64.0% |
27.3% |
18.6% |
39.2% |
This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,907 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.
