Blog

1 July 2016

7 News - National Poll - 30 June 2016

Image: 

ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,084 residents across Australia during the evening of 30th June 2016.

 

7 News

Question 1:

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote?

 

 

19th May

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

30th June

30th June*

 

2013 Election

Liberal

36.0%

35.2%

35.3% 

35.6%

36.8%

36.4%

37.6% 

38.9% 

 

41.3%

The Nationals

2.6%

2.8%

2.9% 

3.6%

4.4%

4.0%

3.9%

3.9%

 

4.3%

Labor

34.2%

33.3%

32.9%

31.6%

31.0%

31.7%

33.3%

34.6%

 

33.4%

The Greens

9.8%

8.8%

9.5%

8.7%

8.5%

9.2%

10.3%

10.7%

 

8.6%

Nick Xenophon Team

2.2%

3.5%

4.3%

4.1%

3.5%

1.4%

1.4%

1.5%

 

5.5%

Other

6.7%

6.8%

6.6%

8.3%

8.0%

10.1%

8.5%

10.5%

 

6.9%

Undecided

8.6%

9.6%

8.5%

8.2%

7.8%

7.2%

5.1%

 

 

 

* Undecided voters were asked a follow-up question on who they would have even a slight leaning towards.

 

Two party preferred

 

 

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

30th June

Liberal / National

48%

50%

50%

51%

51%

51%

Labor

52%

50%

50%

49%

49%

49%

* Preferences are based on respondent allocated preferences.

 

Question 2:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

 

 

9th June

16th June

23rd June

30th June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

 

Female

Male

Malcolm Turnbull

55.4%

57.6%

58.4%

52.9%

95.2%

10.4%

23.7%

51.9%

 

50.4%

55.4%

Bill Shorten

44.6%

42.4%

41.6%

47.1%

4.8%

89.6%

76.3%

48.1%

 

49.6%

44.6%

 

 

28th Aug

Tony Abbott

42.1%

Bill Shorten

57.9%

 

Question 3:

Please rate the performance of Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister?

 

 

19th May

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

30th June

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

7.9%

11.3%

9.7%

11.4%

10.8%

11.5%

13.0%

31.2%

 

26.5%

2.9%

5.1%

Good

20.7%

18.1%

16.6%

16.9%

16.6%

22.0%

18.2%

 

35.2%

5.5%

5.6%

Satisfactory

36.2%

33.8%

33.0%

34.2%

36.2%

33.2%

32.0%

32.0%

 

32.7%

31.7%

26.6%

Poor

20.1%

21.2%

22.9%

21.4%

20.3%

17.2%

18.2%

36.9%

 

3.2%

28.3%

31.8%

Very poor

15.0%

15.6%

17.9%

16.0%

16.0%

16.1%

18.7%

 

2.3%

31.6%

30.8%

 

Question 4:

Please rate the performance of Bill Shorten as Leader of the Opposition?

 

 

19th May

26th May

2nd June

9th June

16th June

23rd June

30th June

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

8.7%

9.9%

9.3%

9.3%

12.0%

11.4%

15.2%

34.8%

 

3.5%

33.0%

12.1%

Good

19.2%

19.2%

19.7%

18.2%

17.6%

19.3%

19.6%

 

9.8%

34.3%

25.6%

Satisfactory

33.7%

34.0%

31.5%

33.9%

30.7%

31.6%

26.6%

26.6%

 

20.9%

25.1%

42.3%

Poor

19.3%

17.2%

20.4%

20.2%

20.5%

18.5%

18.7%

38.6%

 

28.5%

4.6%

16.3%

Very poor

19.1%

19.7%

19.2%

18.4%

19.2%

19.3%

19.9%

 

37.3%

3.0%

3.7%

 

Question 5:

With one week from election day, regardless of how you said you would vote, what do you think the outcome of the election will be?

 

23rd June

30th June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Coalition win

49.6%

54.5%

54.0%

55.0%

50.6%

53.8%

56.4%

60.1%

Labor win

22.3%

22.4%

24.4%

20.3%

29.4%

26.0%

14.9%

14.4%

Hung parliament

28.1%

23.1%

21.5%

24.7%

20.0%

20.2%

28.6%

25.5%

 

 

30th June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Coalition win

54.5%

84.8%

30.3%

31.8%

39.0%

Labor win

22.4%

3.7%

45.8%

33.6%

21.9%

Hung parliament

23.1%

11.5%

23.9%

34.6%

39.0%

 

Question 6:

Which leader do you think has campaigned better?

 

30th June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Malcolm Turnbull

47.6%

48.2%

47.1%

45.1%

44.3%

48.7%

56.5%

Bill Shorten

52.4%

51.8%

52.9%

54.9%

55.7%

51.3%

43.5%

 

 

30th June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Malcolm Turnbull

47.6%

81.8%

14.6%

20.5%

53.8%

Bill Shorten

52.4%

18.2%

85.4%

79.5%

46.2%

 

Question 7:

Has Britain voting to leave from the European Union, or BREXIT as it is referred to in the media, impacted your vote at all?

 

30th June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

No -  Hasn’t impacted your vote

89.7%

88.7%

90.7%

89.5%

89.9%

89.8%

89.8%

Yes - More likely to vote Coalition

5.9%

5.8%

6.0%

7.4%

3.2%

7.4%

6.3%

Yes - More likely to vote for Labor

3.0%

3.7%

2.3%

1.8%

5.1%

1.8%

2.6%

Yes - More likely to vote for a minor party or Independent

1.4%

1.8%

1.1%

1.3%

1.8%

1.0%

1.4%

 

 

30th June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

No -  Hasn’t impacted your vote

89.7%

92.9%

88.2%

85.6%

83.8%

Yes - More likely to vote Coalition

5.9%

6.5%

4.5%

9.3%

7.6%

Yes - More likely to vote for Labor

3.0%

0.6%

6.9%

2.8%

1.9%

Yes - More likely to vote for a minor party or Independent

1.4%

0.0%

0.4%

2.3%

6.7%

  

Question 8:

When deciding who to vote for at the upcoming federal election, which of the following issues will influence your decision most?

 

2nd June

16th June

23rd June

30th June

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Education

12.6%

11.8%

12.0%

13.1%

13.0%

13.3%

15.5%

14.3%

9.4%

11.9%

Creating jobs

16.7%

16.6%

14.2%

11.9%

9.9%

14.0%

13.2%

11.9%

10.6%

11.6%

Health services

20.6%

19.1%

21.4%

23.1%

30.1%

15.7%

20.8%

24.9%

22.9%

24.0%

Management of the economy

23.8%

29.8%

29.9%

30.4%

26.9%

34.1%

27.3%

28.1%

36.2%

31.6%

Border protection and asylum seekers

8.8%

8.0%

7.6%

8.3%

9.0%

7.5%

6.5%

7.1%

9.0%

12.4%

Roads and infrastructure

4.0%

3.6%

2.9%

1.9%

1.0%

2.8%

1.5%

3.1%

1.0%

1.4%

Climate change and the environment

13.4%

11.0%

12.0%

11.4%

10.1%

12.7%

15.2%

10.6%

10.8%

7.1%

 

 

2nd June

16th June

23rd June

30th June

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Undecided

Education

12.6%

11.8%

12.0%

13.1%

5.3%

23.8%

17.3%

16.8%

Creating jobs

16.7%

16.6%

14.2%

11.9%

12.4%

12.7%

5.6%

17.8%

Health services

20.6%

19.1%

21.4%

23.1%

9.8%

40.3%

18.7%

22.4%

Management of the economy

23.8%

29.8%

29.9%

30.4%

57.0%

8.8%

5.6%

15.9%

Border protection and asylum seekers

8.8%

8.0%

7.6%

8.3%

11.0%

2.9%

8.9%

4.7%

Roads and infrastructure

4.0%

3.6%

2.9%

1.9%

1.9%

1.4%

0.0%

3.7%

Climate change and the environment

13.4%

11.0%

12.0%

11.4%

2.5%

10.0%

43.9%

18.7%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,084 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.