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6 February 2015

7 News - National Poll - 5 February 2015

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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 3,502 residents across Australia during the evening of 5th February 2015.

 

7 News

Question 1:

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

 

26th June

21st July

21st Aug

18th Sep

23rd Oct

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb

 

2013 Election

Liberal

34.9%

35.7%

36.8%

37.0%

36.1%

36.1%

35.5%

34.4%

 

41.3%

The Nationals

4.7%

4.8%

4.4%

4.6%

4.0%

4.1%

4.2%

4.0%

 

4.3%

Labor

38.7%

37.1%

37.3%

37.4%

37.5%

38.7%

40.2%

41.4%

 

33.4%

The Greens

10.3%

10.3%

9.8%

10.5%

11.5%

11.1%

11.3%

11.2%

 

8.6%

Palmer United Party

6.8%

8.2%

6.7%

5.3%

5.1%

3.1%

2.9%

2.7%

 

5.5%

Other

4.7%

3.9%

4.9%

5.2%

5.8%

6.8%

5.9%

6.2%

 

6.9%

 

 

5th Feb

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Liberal

34.4%

33.0%

35.9%

26.2%

35.5%

36.1%

44.9%

The Nationals

4.0%

4.5%

3.5%

3.2%

3.2%

4.4%

6.6%

Labor

41.4%

42.4%

40.4%

41.0%

40.5%

45.2%

38.3%

The Greens

11.2%

12.7%

9.6%

17.4%

11.0%

8.1%

4.7%

Palmer United Party

2.7%

2.1%

3.5%

4.2%

3.2%

1.5%

1.2%

Other

6.2%

5.4%

7.0%

7.9%

6.6%

4.8%

4.2%

 

 Two party preferred result based on 2013 election distribution

 

 

26th June

21st July

21st Aug

18th Sep

23rd Oct

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb 

Liberal / National

47%

48%

49%

49%

48%

47%

46%

45% 

Labor

53%

52%

51%

51%

52%

53%

54%

55% 

 

Question 2:

Now, please consider a difference scenario where Malcolm Turnbull is Prime Minister instead of Tony Abbott.

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

Q1    w/Abbott

Q2  w/Turnbull

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Liberal

34.4%

44.0%

41.4%

46.7%

36.9%

43.8%

45.8%

54.3%

The Nationals

4.0%

4.4%

5.2%

3.5%

3.6%

4.2%

5.0%

5.4%

Labor

41.4%

34.1%

36.5%

31.5%

34.3%

34.3%

36.1%

30.6%

The Greens

11.2%

9.3%

10.4%

8.1%

14.8%

8.8%

6.6%

3.9%

Palmer United Party

2.7%

2.6%

1.9%

3.3%

3.6%

3.1%

1.3%

1.7%

Other

6.2%

5.7%

4.6%

6.9%

6.8%

5.8%

5.1%

4.1%

 

 Two party preferred result based on 2013 election distribution

 

5th Feb 

Liberal / National

54% 

Labor

46% 

 

Question 3:

Please consider one more scenario where Julie Bishop is Prime Minister instead of Tony Abbott.

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

Q1    w/Abbott

Q2  w/Turnbull

Q3  w/Bishop

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Liberal

34.4%

44.0%

41.4%

40.8%

42.1%

33.7%

40.7%

44.6%

52.3%

The Nationals

4.0%

4.4%

4.1%

5.1%

3.1%

3.7%

4.4%

3.9%

4.4%

Labor

41.4%

34.1%

36.3%

37.1%

35.4%

35.8%

36.8%

38.7%

33.1%

The Greens

11.2%

9.3%

10.0%

10.7%

9.1%

16.0%

9.1%

7.0%

4.6%

Palmer United Party

2.7%

2.6%

3.1%

1.8%

4.4%

4.9%

2.9%

2.0%

1.7%

Other

6.2%

5.7%

5.2%

4.6%

5.8%

5.8%

6.1%

3.9%

3.9%

 

 Two party preferred result based on 2013 election distribution

 

5th Feb 

Liberal / National

51% 

Labor

49% 

 

Question 4:

Please rate the performance of Tony Abbott as Prime Minister?

 

18th Sep

23rd Oct

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

19.6%

18.5%

18.5%

9.8%

10.7%

21.1%

 

25.7%

0.7%

0.3%

Good

12.5%

13.0%

12.6%

11.8%

10.4%

 

23.9% 

1.0% 

3.6%

Satisfactory

20.3%

17.6%

16.8%

16.7%

16.2%

16.2%

 

29.0% 

8.1% 

8.9%

Poor

17.4%

17.8%

16.0%

21.1%

16.5%

62.7%

 

12.7% 

20.6% 

14.0%

Very poor

30.1%

33.2%

36.1%

40.5%

46.2%

 

8.7% 

69.6% 

73.3%

 

Question 5:

Please rate the performance of Bill Shorten as Leader of the Opposition?

 

18th Sep

23rd Oct

20th Nov

27th Jan

5th Feb

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

6.3%

8.5%

8.1%

9.3%

9.0%

25.1%

 

1.9%

18.3%

1.8%

Good

14.9%

13.5%

13.2%

17.8%

16.1%

 

3.6% 

27.0% 

19.9%

Satisfactory

39.5%

36.7%

41.0%

34.6%

35.6%

35.6%

 

24.6% 

42.6% 

53.5%

Poor

22.0%

23.8%

20.5%

20.3%

20.0%

39.3%

 

29.3% 

10.8% 

20.5%

Very poor

17.3%

17.5%

17.2%

18.0%

19.3%

 

40.7% 

1.3% 

4.3%

 

Question 6:

If you were forced to choose between the following two people to lead the Liberal / National Coalition, who would you choose?

 

Total 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Other

Malcolm Turnbull

56.5% 

45.6%

66.7%

59.3%

46.9%

54.6%

Julie Bishop

43.5% 

54.4% 

33.3% 

40.7%

53.1%

45.4%

 

 

Total 

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Malcolm Turnbull

56.5% 

50.5%

62.7%

51.5%

54.4%

64.5% 

58.0% 

Julie Bishop

43.5% 

49.5%

37.3%

48.5%

45.6% 

35.5% 

42.0% 

 

Question 7:

Which statement do you agree with most?

 

Total 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

PUP

Other

A party should be allowed to change their leader whenever they like

50.3% 

36.5%

60.2%

59.8%

46.9%

54.2% 

A party should only be able to change their leader at an election

49.7% 

63.5%

39.8%

40.2%

53.1%

45.8%

 

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

A party should be allowed to change their leader whenever they like

50.3%

47.7%

53.1%

45.2%

48.2%

56.8%

54.2%

A party should only be able to change their leader at an election

49.7%

52.3%

46.9%

54.8%

51.8%

43.2%

45.8%

 

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 3,502 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.