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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,450 residents across Australia during the evening of 5th May 2016.

 

7 News

Question 1:

If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote?

 

 

22nd Oct

26th Nov

21st Jan

11th Feb

21st Mar

14th April

5th May

5th May*

 

2013 Election

Liberal

42.3%

44.6%

44.4%

43.6%

42.4% 

40.3%

37.8%

41.4% 

 

41.3%

The Nationals

4.4%

4.2%

4.1%

4.5%

4.2%

3.2%

2.4%

2.8% 

 

4.3%

Labor

33.0%

31.1%

31.8%

32.8%

34.4%

35.8%

33.1%

35.1%

 

33.4%

The Greens

11.3%

11.2%

10.8%

10.1%

10.5%

9.8%

8.6%

9.5%

 

8.6%

Xenophon Team

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

3.8%

3.8%

4.2%

 

5.5%

Other

8.2%

7.9%

8.3%

8.3%

8.1%

7.1%

5.8%

7.0%

 

6.9%

Undecided

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

8.5%

 

 

 

* Undecided voters were asked a follow-up question on who they would have even a slight leaning towards.

 

Two party preferred

 

 

22nd Oct

26th Nov

21st Jan

11th Feb

21st Mar

14th April

5th May

Lib/Nat

53%

55%

55%

54%

52%

50%

50%

Labor

47%

45%

45%

46%

48%

50%

50%

* Preferences for the most recent poll (5th May) based on respondent allocated preferences. All other polls used 2013 election preference distribution.

 

 

Question 2:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

 

 

11th Feb

21st Mar

14th April

5th May

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

 

Female

Male

Malcolm Turnbull

74.9%

60.0%

58.4%

57.7%

94.8%

16.6%

29.5%

67.3%

 

57.6%

57.9%

Bill Shorten

25.1%

40.0%

41.6%

42.3%

5.2%

83.4%

70.5%

32.7%

 

42.4%

42.1%

 

 

28th Aug

Tony Abbott

42.1%

Bill Shorten

57.9%

 

Question 3:

Please rate the performance of Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister?

 

 

15th Sep

26th Nov

21st Jan

11th Feb

21st Mar

14th April

5th May

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

14.4%

22.1%

24.2%

14.8%

10.3%

9.7%

9.7%

28.1%

 

19.3%

2.8%

4.3%

Good

13.4%

26.1%

29.4%

24.4%

19.3%

15.8%

18.4%

 

32.1%

10.3%

3.3%

Satisfactory

18.8%

37.0%

33.8%

36.9%

36.4%

37.8%

37.5%

37.5%

 

39.7%

32.3%

33.2%

Poor

16.9%

8.0%

7.3%

12.9%

19.7%

20.9%

20.4%

34.5%

 

5.7%

31.4%

35.1%

Very poor

36.5%

6.8%

5.2%

11.0%

14.4%

15.7%

14.1%

 

3.2%

23.2%

24.2%

 

*Abbott

22nd Oct

22nd Oct

22nd Oct

22nd Oct

22nd Oct

22nd Oct

 

 

 

 

 

Question 4:

Please rate the performance of Bill Shorten as Leader of the Opposition?

 

 

22nd Oct

26th Nov

21st Jan

11th Feb

21st Mar

14th April

5th May

 

 

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Very good

8.7%

6.4%

4.0%

6.1%

6.3%

7.7%

8.9%

24.6%

 

1.2%

21.2%

6.2%

Good

14.2%

14.2%

9.8%

12.5%

13.8%

15.7%

15.7%

 

5.1%

29.5%

18.7%

Satisfactory

30.8%

31.9%

28.8%

31.1%

32.6%

34.2%

31.5%

31.5%

 

25.1%

35.1%

38.8%

Poor

24.0%

23.5%

27.8%

23.8%

22.2%

21.0%

22.7%

44.0%

 

31.1%

11.2%

23.0%

Very poor

22.3%

24.0%

29.6%

26.5%

25.1%

21.4%

21.3%

 

37.6%

3.0%

13.4%

 

Question 5:

How would you rate the Coalition Government's Budget handed down on Tuesday night?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very good

6.6%

5.7%

7.5%

7.6%

6.0%

5.9%

6.8%

Good

19.6%

17.4%

21.8%

17.3%

19.4%

20.6%

22.5%

Average

38.9%

38.3%

39.6%

43.7%

36.0%

36.0%

39.6%

Poor

17.7%

18.9%

16.5%

13.3%

18.8%

22.0%

17.9%

Very poor

17.2%

19.7%

14.6%

18.1%

19.8%

15.5%

13.3%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Very good

6.6%

14.9%

0.6%

0.0%

2.4%

Good

19.6%

38.1%

6.8%

4.3%

9.6%

Average

38.9%

39.2%

36.2%

37.4%

48.1%

Poor

17.7%

4.8%

25.6%

29.9%

26.9%

Very poor

17.2%

2.9%

30.8%

28.4%

13.0%

 

Question 6:

Thinking about the Budget and your financial situation, do you think the budget will leave you better off, worse off or about the same?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Better

7.1%

5.3%

9.1%

8.0%

10.1%

5.3%

3.1%

Worse

33.4%

35.7%

31.0%

32.2%

36.0%

34.0%

30.1%

About the same

59.4%

59.0%

59.9%

59.9%

53.9%

60.8%

66.7%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Better

7.1%

12.6%

2.5%

2.4%

4.8%

Worse

33.4%

14.9%

51.5%

40.8%

27.9%

About the same

59.4%

72.5%

46.0%

56.9%

67.3%

 

Question 7:

Has this budget made you more or less likely to vote for the Coalition government?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

More likely

16.6%

14.7%

18.5%

14.9%

15.5%

17.5%

20.2%

Less likely

33.8%

33.7%

33.8%

35.7%

33.4%

33.4%

31.5%

Vote unchanged

49.7%

51.6%

47.7%

49.5%

51.1%

49.1%

48.3%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

More likely

16.6%

31.8%

6.5%

3.3%

7.7%

Less likely

33.8%

10.7%

54.9%

54.3%

33.2%

Vote unchanged

49.7%

57.6%

38.5%

42.4%

59.1%

 

Question 8:

Regardless of how you said you would vote. Which party do you think is most likely to win the upcoming federal election?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Liberal National Coalition

49.1%

47.6%

50.7%

42.2%

50.3%

53.2%

53.5%

Labor

28.1%

30.2%

25.9%

34.7%

30.0%

22.6%

20.5%

Hung parliament

22.8%

22.2%

23.4%

23.1%

19.6%

24.2%

26.0%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Und

Liberal National Coalition

49.1%

81.7%

20.5%

28.6%

44.7%

Labor

28.1%

7.0%

56.4%

35.7%

21.6%

Hung parliament

22.8%

11.3%

23.1%

35.7%

33.7%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,450 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.