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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 1,549 residents across New South Wales during the evening of 26th March 2015.

 

7 News

Question 1:

At the upcoming New South Wales state election on March 28th, which of the following will receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

26th Feb

5th March

26th March

 

2011 Election

Liberal

36.0%

36.0%

36.4%

 

38.6% 

The Nationals

8.6%

8.0%

9.1%

 

12.6% 

Labor

35.0%

34.8%

33.8%

 

25.6% 

The Greens

10.0%

10.2%

10.5%

 

10.3% 

Other / Independent

10.4%

11.0%

10.2%

 

13.0% 

 

Two party preferred result based on respondent allocated preferences from Question 1a

 

26th Feb 

5th March

26th March 

Liberal / National

53%

53%

54% 

Labor

47%

47%

46% 

Question 1a:

At the upcoming state election, which of the following parties will you preference highest?

 

Total 

Greens

Other

Liberal / National Coalition 

16.2% 

14.3% 

18.1% 

Labor 

38.2% 

52.6% 

23.4% 

Won’t be allocating preferences

45.6%

33.1%

58.5%

Note: Respondents that selected Liberal, The Nationals or Labor in Question 1 were not included in Question 1a. 

 

Question 2:

How do you rate the performance of Mike Baird as New South Wales Premier?

 

26th Feb 

5th March

26th March 

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very Good

23.2%

24.9%

29.4% 

28.3% 

30.6% 

16.2% 

31.1% 

31.1% 

46.1% 

Good

18.6%

16.9%

19.4%

18.8%

20.1%

17.5%

19.4%

21.9%

19.5%

Satisfactory

32.2%

33.2%

25.5%

27.5%

23.4%

29.6%

23.8%

24.7%

22.3%

Poor

12.1%

10.4%

11.4%

11.7%

11.0%

15.0%

9.9%

12.5%

6.7%

Very Poor

9.2%

8.5%

11.9%

10.6%

13.2%

17.7%

13.9%

8.3%

3.9%

Don’t know this person

4.6%

6.2%

2.4%

3.0%

1.7%

4.0%

2.0%

1.4%

1.4%

 

Question 3:

How do you rate the performance of Luke Foley as Leader of the Opposition?

 

26th Feb

5th March

26th March

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very Good

5.3%

8.6%

10.0%

9.7%

10.3%

6.4%

11.9%

11.4%

11.0%

Good

11.2%

15.0%

13.2%

10.7%

15.7%

12.4%

11.4%

15.3%

14.8%

Satisfactory

38.8%

36.4%

32.4%

35.8%

28.8%

32.3%

34.3%

34.2%

26.9%

Poor

16.9%

11.3%

18.6%

19.3%

17.8%

16.4%

17.1%

19.4%

23.7%

Very Poor

10.2%

12.5%

16.6%

13.9%

19.6%

17.7%

16.9%

14.7%

17.0%

Don’t know this person

17.6%

16.2%

9.2%

10.5%

7.8%

14.8%

8.4%

5.0%

6.7%

 

Question 4:

Regardless of your voting intention, which party do you think will win the state election?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Liberal / National Coalition

71.6%

69.7%

73.6%

63.1%

70.1%

75.6%

82.3%

Labor

28.4%

30.3%

26.4%

36.9%

29.9%

24.4%

17.7%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Other

Liberal / National Coalition

71.6%

98.2%

46.8%

47.0%

60.5%

Labor

28.4%

1.8%

53.2%

53.0%

39.5%

 

Question 5:

Do you support the government’s plan to lease 49% of the state owned electricity poles and wires network?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Support

28.8%

25.5%

32.2%

14.4%

31.2%

34.4%

41.0%

Oppose

49.0%

46.1%

52.2%

54.0%

49.0%

50.8%

38.5%

Undecided

22.2%

28.4%

15.6%

31.6%

19.8%

14.7%

20.5%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Other

Support

28.8%

57.3%

3.8%

2.5%

11.4%

Oppose

49.0%

16.5%

75.7%

84.0%

69.6%

Undecided

22.2%

26.2%

20.5%

13.5%

19.0%

 

Question 6:

Has the campaign warning of China possibly leasing the state's electricity assets made you more or less likely to support asset leasing?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

More likely

11.8%

11.2%

12.4%

11.9%

10.5%

13.1%

12.4%

Less likely

41.9%

40.3%

43.6%

38.9%

45.1%

45.0%

37.5%

Support unchanged

46.3%

48.5%

44.0%

49.1%

44.4%

41.9%

50.2%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Other

More likely

11.8%

16.9%

10.3%

3.1%

3.2%

Less likely

41.9%

31.8%

48.9%

48.8%

56.3%

Support unchanged

46.3%

51.3%

40.8%

48.1%

40.5%

 

 

Total

Q5 Support

Q5 Oppose

Q5 Undecided

More likely

11.8%

23.3%

8.0%

5.2%

Less likely

41.9%

21.7%

55.5%

37.8%

Support unchanged

46.3%

54.9%

36.5%

57.0%

 

Question 7:

Which of the following issues will influence your decision most when deciding who to vote for at the upcoming state election?

 

5th March

26th March

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Asset leasing

8.8%

13.4%

8.1%

19.0%

14.1%

12.3%

15.6%

11.3%

Environment

11.6%

13.0%

13.8%

12.2%

18.3%

10.8%

12.5%

8.8%

Health

24.2%

19.1%

24.9%

13.1%

15.9%

18.5%

18.9%

25.1%

The economy

29.2%

26.5%

24.7%

28.3%

19.4%

26.4%

30.3%

32.9%

Public transport

7.3%

8.9%

7.6%

10.3%

10.4%

11.0%

6.7%

6.4%

Education

10.2%

9.8%

11.1%

8.3%

10.6%

12.8%

6.9%

7.1%

Traffic and roads

8.7%

9.3%

9.8%

8.7%

11.3%

8.1%

9.2%

8.5%

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Other

Asset leasing

13.4%

8.7%

18.9%

14.6%

15.0%

Environment

13.0%

4.4%

11.6%

50.0%

17.5%

Health

19.1%

16.1%

27.9%

10.4%

12.5%

The economy

26.5%

44.6%

12.0%

1.2%

20.0%

Public transport

8.9%

8.0%

8.4%

13.4%

10.6%

Education

9.8%

5.0%

15.8%

9.1%

11.9%

Traffic and roads

9.3%

13.4%

5.3%

1.2%

12.5%

 This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 1,549 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.