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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,155 Victorian residents on the night of 27th November 2014.

 

Question 1:

If a state election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

23rd Oct

27th Nov

Liberal

34.7%

34.5% 

The Nationals

3.9%

5.2% 

Labor

37.5%

38.3% 

The Greens

13.3%

13.5% 

Other

6.7%

8.5% 

 

Two party preferred result based on 2010 election distribution

 

23rd Oct

27th Nov

Lib/Nat Coalition

47%

48%

Labor

53%

52%

 

Question 2:

How do you rate the performance of Denis Napthine as Victorian Premier?

 

23rd Oct

27th Nov

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very Good

14.3%

17.2% 

14.1%

20.6%

16.9%

14.7%

16.7%

22.9%

Good

15.2%

16.5%

18.0%

14.8%

11.5%

19.3%

16.9%

20.2%

Satisfactory

27.8%

26.4%

31.4%

21.1%

25.0%

29.4%

25.7%

24.5%

Poor

20.6%

20.3%

19.8%

20.8%

17.3%

20.7%

24.2%

19.6%

Very Poor

17.9%

16.0%

12.9%

19.2%

21.1%

13.8%

15.5%

11.2%

Don’t know this person

4.1%

3.6%

3.8%

3.5%

8.1%

2.1%

1.0%

1.6%

 

 

27th Nov

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Other

Very Good

17.2%

36.7%

3.5%

2.4%

11.4%

Good

16.5%

29.0%

9.1%

4.1%

11.4%

Satisfactory

26.4%

24.2%

31.4%

19.3%

25.5%

Poor

20.3%

5.0%

27.4%

45.9%

18.5%

Very Poor

16.0%

3.2%

24.6%

21.4%

28.3%

Don’t know this person

3.6%

1.9%

4.0%

6.9%

4.9%

 

Question 3:

How do you rate the performance of Daniel Andrews as Leader of the Opposition?

 

23rd Oct

27th Nov

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very Good

9.0%

12.3%

10.4%

14.4%

16.9%

9.6%

10.8%

10.6%

Good

13.8%

15.6%

15.0%

16.3%

14.3%

13.6%

18.6%

17.4%

Satisfactory

34.5%

30.7%

33.0%

28.2%

27.6%

32.4%

33.3%

30.0%

Poor

22.1%

19.8%

23.8%

15.6%

12.7%

25.4%

20.0%

22.9%

Very Poor

17.2%

15.5%

10.4%

20.8%

17.3%

13.6%

14.9%

16.3%

Don’t know this person

3.5%

6.1%

7.4%

4.8%

11.3%

5.4%

2.4%

2.7%

 

 

27th Nov

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Other

Very Good

12.3%

4.4%

25.0%

3.4%

5.9%

Good

15.6%

6.3%

24.6%

17.9%

15.1%

Satisfactory

30.7%

25.1%

35.0%

41.7%

20.5%

Poor

19.8%

29.1%

7.3%

24.1%

24.9%

Very Poor

15.5%

30.1%

2.3%

5.5%

22.2%

Don’t know this person

6.1%

4.9%

5.8%

7.2%

11.4%

 

Question 4:

Regardless of your voting intention, which party do you think will win the state election on Saturday?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Lib/Nat Coalition

37.7%

41.6%

33.4%

36.8%

36.9%

34.7%

44.6%

Labor

62.3%

58.4%

66.6%

63.2%

63.1%

65.3%

55.4%

 

 

Total

L/NP

Labor

Greens

Other

Lib/Nat Coalition

37.7%

71.6%

10.7%

15.2%

36.4%

Labor

62.3%

28.4%

89.3%

84.8%

63.6%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,155 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.