Blog

ReachTEL conducted a survey of 847 residents in the Queensland state electorate of Ashgrove on the night of 13th January 2015.

 

 

7 News

 

Question 1:

Who of the following will receive your first preference vote at the upcoming state election on the 31st of January?

 

13th Jan

4th Dec

28th Sep

22nd July

Independent – Connie Cicchini

1.7% 

n/a

n/a

n/a 

LNP – Campbell Newman

43.7% 

40.7%

41.1%

39.1% 

Independent – Peter Jeremijenko

1.6% 

n/a

n/a

n/a 

The Greens – Robert Hogg

5.4% 

5.7%

3.5%

7.5% 

Labor – Kate Jones

47.6% 

47.9%

52.2%

47.5%

 

Two party preferred result based on 2012 election distribution

 

 

LNP 

47% 

Labor 

53% 

 

Question 1a:

Of the following, what is your primary reason for not voting for Campbell Newman?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

11.6%

13.5%

9.9%

10.2%

11.7%

12.2%

16.7%

Performance as a local member

9.8%

9.0%

10.7%

9.7%

11.0%

9.2%

8.3%

Performance as Premier

26.3%

23.3%

29.6%

38.1%

22.1%

16.3%

16.7%

Style of leadership

21.6%

20.8%

22.3%

19.3%

20.7%

27.6%

20.0%

Proposed asset leasing

17.2%

15.5%

18.9%

9.7%

20.0%

22.4%

25.0%

Other

13.5%

18.0%

8.6%

13.1%

14.5%

12.2%

13.3%

 

 

Total

Lab

Greens

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

11.6%

11.9%

10.9%

Performance as a local member

9.8%

9.4%

4.3%

Performance as Premier

26.3%

27.0%

34.8%

Style of leadership

21.6%

23.6%

10.9%

Proposed asset leasing

17.2%

16.9%

19.6%

Other

13.5%

11.2%

19.6%

Note: Only respondents who didn’t vote for LNP in Question 1 were asked Question 1a.

 

 

Question 2:

If you were forced to choose between the following two candidates, who do you think would make the better member for Ashgrove?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Campbell Newman

45.6%

45.6%

45.7%

41.2%

47.1%

47.2%

50.0%

Kate Jones

54.4%

54.4%

54.3%

58.8%

52.9%

52.8%

50.0%

 

 

Total

LNP

Gre

Lab

Campbell Newman

45.6%

95.9%

8.7%

4.5%

Kate Jones

54.4%

4.1%

91.3%

95.5%

 

Question 3:

Regardless of your voting intention, who do you think will win the seat of Ashgrove?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Campbell Newman

51.4%

51.1% 

51.8% 

44.3% 

52.5% 

47.3% 

54.4% 

Kate Jones

48.6%

48.9% 

48.2% 

55.7% 

47.5% 

52.7% 

45.6% 

 

 

Total

LNP

Green

Labor

Campbell Newman

51.4%

95.1%

39.1%

14.1%

Kate Jones

48.6%

4.9%

60.9%

85.9%

 

Question 4:

How would you rate the performance of Campbell Newman as the member for Ashgrove?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Very good

28.3%

32.2%

24.0%

28.8%

26.6%

27.0%

33.1%

Good

15.8%

13.2%

18.6%

14.7%

16.1%

15.7%

17.8%

Satisfactory

20.7%

19.9%

21.5%

18.3%

23.0%

23.0%

17.8%

Poor

15.4%

12.8%

18.1%

13.7%

16.8%

15.7%

15.3%

Very poor

19.9%

21.9%

17.8%

24.5%

17.5%

18.5%

16.1%

 

Question 5:

What is your opinion of the Labor candidate for Ashgrove Kate Jones?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Favourable

52.1%

51.9%

52.3%

48.4%

54.0%

55.1%

51.3%

Neutral

21.5%

21.2%

21.8%

18.6%

23.0%

23.0%

23.1%

Unfavourable

23.0%

21.6%

24.4%

26.2%

20.1%

20.2%

25.6%

Never heard of person

3.4%

5.2%

1.5%

6.8%

2.9%

1.7%

0.0% 

 

 

Question 6:

If Campbell Newman didn’t retain the seat of Ashgrove, who of the following would you prefer to take over as leader of the Liberal National Party?

 

4th Dec

13th Jan

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Jeff Seeney

6.4%

7.2%

7.3%

7.1%

8.3%

5.9%

5.6%

9.3%

Tim Nicholls

14.7%

20.2%

18.7%

21.8%

16.9%

20.6%

20.8%

26.3%

Lawrence Springborg

32.2%

30.4%

37.8%

22.5%

21.9%

32.4%

37.1%

35.6%

John-Paul Langebroek

18.0%

14.1%

12.3%

16.1%

16.9%

11.0%

17.4%

10.2%

Scott Emerson

7.0%

7.1%

5.5%

8.8%

7.9%

7.4%

5.6%

6.8%

Fiona Simpson

15.7%

14.5%

14.8%

14.2%

18.0%

16.9%

9.6%

8.5%

Jarrod Bleijie

6.1%

6.5%

3.6%

9.5%

10.1%

5.9%

3.9%

3.4%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

Jeff Seeney

7.2%

8.4%

0.0%

7.2%

Tim Nicholls

20.2%

33.1%

4.3%

11.2%

Lawrence Springborg

30.4%

30.4%

34.8%

30.3%

John-Paul Langebroek

14.1%

13.3%

6.5%

15.9%

Scott Emerson

7.1%

6.5%

10.9%

7.2%

Fiona Simpson

14.5%

5.4%

43.5%

17.9%

Jarrod Bleijie

6.5%

3.0%

0.0%

10.2%


This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 847 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.