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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 861 residents in the Queensland state electorate of Ashgrove on the night of 27th January 2015.

 

7 News

 

 

Question 1:

Who of the following will receive your first preference vote at the upcoming state election on the 31st of January?

 

22nd July

28th Sep

4th Dec

13th Jan

27th Jan

Independent – Connie Cicchini

n/a 

n/a

n/a

1.7% 

1.3% 

LNP – Campbell Newman

39.1% 

41.1%

40.7%

43.7% 

42.3% 

Independent – Peter Jeremijenko

n/a 

n/a

n/a

1.6% 

1.6% 

The Greens – Robert Hogg

7.5%

3.5%

5.7%

5.4%

8.2%

Labor – Kate Jones

47.5%

52.2%

47.9%

47.6%

46.5%

 

Two party preferred result based on 2012 election distribution

 

13th Jan

27th Jan

LNP

47%

46%

Labor

53%

54%

 

Question 1a:

Of the following, what is your primary reason for not voting for Campbell Newman?

 

27th Jan

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

8.2%

Performance as a local member

8.5%

Performance as Premier

20.4%

Style of leadership

23.9%

Proposed asset leasing

21.4%

Other

17.6%

Note: Only respondents who didn’t vote for LNP in Question 1 were asked Question 1a.

 

 

Question 2:

How would you rate the performance of Campbell Newman as the member for Ashgrove? 

 

13th Jan

 

 

27th Jan

 

 

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Very good

27.4%

43.3%

 

28.8%

45.2%

 

29.0%

28.7%

26.6%

29.2%

27.8%

35.2%

Good

15.9%

 

16.4%

 

18.1%

14.5%

20.6%

15.9%

12.8%

13.1%

Satisfactory

21.4%

21.4%

 

13.6%

13.6%

 

15.2%

12.1%

5.3%

18.4%

17.8%

15.6%

Poor

16.5%

35.2%

 

15.6%

41.2%

 

13.4%

17.9%

15.6%

15.9%

15.6%

14.8%

Very poor

18.7%

 

25.6%

 

24.3%

26.8%

31.9%

20.6%

26.1%

21.3%

 

Question 3:

What is your opinion of the Labor candidate for Ashgrove Kate Jones?

 

13th Jan

27th Jan

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Favourable

55.1%

52.2%

49.8%

54.8%

52.5%

53.4%

51.9%

49.2%

Neutral

21.8%

15.3%

16.3%

14.3%

6.0%

20.2%

21.5%

16.4%

Unfavourable

21.7%

32.0%

33.5%

30.2%

41.5%

25.3%

26.0%

34.4%

Never heard of person

1.4%

0.5%

0.4%

0.7%

0.0%

1.1%

0.6%

0.0%

 

Question 4:

Compared to other electorates, since the last election in 2012 do you think the electorate of Ashgrove has received more or less than a fair share of state government funding?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

More than a fair share

32.0%

24.2%

40.3%

30.2%

35.9%

30.4%

29.5%

About the right amount

53.7%

62.3%

44.4%

49.5%

54.3%

58.0%

56.6%

Less than a fair share

14.3%

13.5%

15.2%

20.3%

9.8%

11.6%

13.9%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

More than a fair share

32.0%

14.2%

47.6%

45.1%

About the right amount

53.7%

84.4%

27.4%

35.2%

Less than a fair share

14.3%

1.4%

24.9%

19.7%

 

Question 5:

Has the level of state government funding received in Ashgrove made you more or less likely to vote for the Liberal National Party?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

More likely

20.3%

18.3%

22.2%

27.8%

17.3%

13.3%

20.5%

Less likely

29.2%

24.6%

34.3%

31.3%

28.2%

29.4%

26.2%

Vote unchanged

50.5%

57.0%

43.5%

40.9%

54.5%

57.2%

53.3%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

More likely

20.3%

37.9%

5.0%

19.7%

Less likely

29.2%

4.7%

52.0%

26.8%

Vote unchanged

50.5%

57.4%

43.0%

53.5%

 

 

Q4 More

Q4         About right

Q4       Less

More likely

19.9%

24.4%

5.7%

Less likely

50.4%

11.0%

50.4%

Vote unchanged

29.7%

64.6%

43.9%

 

Additional questions to be released at a later date.


This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 861 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.