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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 1,883 Queensland residents on the night of 7th August 2014.

 

 

Question 1:

If a state election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you even have a slight leaning?

 

5th June

3rd July

7th Aug

Liberal National Party

40.9%

38.7%

41.0%

Labor

34.1%

34.4%

34.4%

The Greens

5.2%

6.1%

5.5%

Palmer United Party

13.6%

15.4%

12.6%

Other

6.3%

5.4%

6.5% 

 

Two party preferred result based on 2012 election distribution

 

5th June

3rd July

7th Aug

LNP

53%

51%

52% 

Labor

47%

49%

48% 

 

Question 1a:

Of the following, which is your primary reason for not voting for the Liberal National Party?

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

7.7%

8.1%

7.3%

5.1%

7.2%

5.3%

11.2%

Performance of the local member/candidate

7.4%

6.6%

8.3%

5.1%

6.0%

7.1%

8.9%

Performance of the Premier

29.7%

32.1%

26.8%

25.3%

30.3%

30.4%

29.7%

The government’s style of leadership

28.6%

29.3%

27.8%

34.2%

27.5%

32.2%

24.7%

Proposed asset sales

17.8%

16.2%

19.7%

11.4%

17.5%

18.0%

19.3%

Other

8.7%

7.6%

10.1%

19.0%

11.6%

7.1%

6.3%

 

 

7th Aug

Lab

Greens

PUP

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

7.7%

9.0%

8.7%

5.5%

Performance of the local member/candidate

7.4%

8.7%

3.8%

4.7%

Performance of the Premier

29.7%

32.6%

33.7%

27.5%

The government’s style of leadership

28.6%

29.1%

26.0%

28.4%

Proposed asset sales

17.8%

15.1%

17.3%

24.6%

Other

8.7%

5.6%

10.6%

9.3%

Note: Only respondents who didn’t vote for LNP in Question 1 were asked Question 1a.

 

Question 2:

How do you rate the performance of Campbell Newman as Queensland Premier?

 

5th June

3rd July

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very Good

14.8%

17.1%

17.3% 

16.2% 

18.6% 

13.9% 

13.8% 

15.7% 

20.6% 

Good

15.4%

12.0%

13.1% 

13.6% 

12.6% 

8.3% 

10.2% 

10.4% 

17.1%

Satisfactory

19.8%

15.4%

17.6%

19.0%

15.8%

15.7%

15.5%

17.5%

19.1%

Poor

19.1%

17.0%

19.6%

20.2%

18.9%

17.6%

19.6%

22.0%

18.0%

Very Poor

30.3%

36.1%

32.1%

30.8%

33.8%

44.4%

40.3%

34.3%

24.9%

Don’t know this person

0.5%

2.4%

0.3%

0.3%

0.2%

0.0% 

0.6%

0.2%

0.3%

 

Question 3:

How do you rate the performance of Annastacia Palaszczuk as Leader of the Opposition?

 

5th June

3rd July

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very Good

10.9%

7.8%

7.3%

7.2%

7.4%

7.5%

8.8%

7.2%

6.6%

Good

15.3%

15.3%

14.9%

14.9%

14.9%

16.8%

13.3%

15.4%

14.9%

Satisfactory

30.3%

31.1%

30.4%

31.8%

28.7%

26.2%

29.0%

33.5%

29.1%

Poor

20.0%

18.1%

21.3%

20.8%

21.9%

10.3%

20.2%

21.2%

23.5%

Very Poor

18.0%

17.8%

19.0%

16.2%

22.5%

16.8%

19.1%

16.4%

21.4%

Don’t know this person

5.4%

10.1%

7.1%

9.1%

4.6%

22.4%

9.7%

6.3%

4.5%

 

Question 9:

Has the Newman government’s reversal on key policies made you more or less likely to vote for the Liberal National Party at the next State election?

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

More likely

20.6%

19.3%

22.3%

15.7%

18.0%

18.4%

24.5%

Less likely

35.7%

35.6%

35.8%

43.5%

40.3%

38.1%

30.4%

Vote unchanged

43.7%

45.1%

41.9%

40.7%

41.7%

43.5%

45.1%

 

 

7th Aug

LNP

Lab

Gre

PUP

More likely

20.6%

37.6%

8.2%

5.8%

10.2%

Less likely

35.7%

8.7%

57.1%

45.2%

53.8%

Vote unchanged

43.7%

53.7%

34.7%

49.0%

36.0%

 

Question 4:

How do you rate the Newman government’s performance when it comes to managing our public health system?

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very good

12.2%

9.8%

15.1%

9.2%

8.9%

11.2%

14.9%

Good

16.5%

15.2%

18.2%

2.8%

12.7%

15.9%

20.8%

Satisfactory

23.2%

24.1%

22.0%

21.1%

21.3%

21.6%

25.5%

Poor

23.2%

23.9%

22.3%

28.4%

25.8%

24.9%

19.9%

Very poor

25.0%

27.0%

22.4%

38.5%

31.3%

26.5%

18.8%

 

Question 5:

How do you rate the Newman government’s performance when it comes to managing our education system?

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very good

10.2%

8.9%

11.9%

7.4%

8.9%

9.0%

12.2%

Good

15.7%

15.5%

16.0%

5.6%

10.5%

15.0%

20.1%

Satisfactory

29.4%

29.1%

29.8%

25.9%

28.3%

27.8%

31.8%

Poor

24.4%

25.1%

23.6%

28.7%

23.3%

28.9%

20.7%

Very poor

20.2%

21.4%

18.7%

32.4%

29.1%

19.4%

15.1%

 

Question 6:

How do you rate the Newman government’s performance when it comes to managing the cost of living for Queenslanders?

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very good

8.7%

7.6%

10.1%

7.4%

5.8%

7.6%

11.2%

Good

11.6%

10.5%

12.8%

7.4%

8.3%

10.3%

14.7%

Satisfactory

22.4%

24.4%

19.8%

16.7%

17.7%

21.1%

26.4%

Poor

27.9%

26.2%

30.1%

25.9%

31.5%

27.0%

27.3%

Very poor

29.5%

31.3%

27.2%

42.6%

36.7%

34.1%

20.5%


Question 7:

How do you rate the Newman government’s performance when it comes to managing crime and safety?

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Very good

25.2%

23.0%

27.9%

15.0%

17.1%

22.7%

32.3%

Good

17.8%

17.9%

17.7%

13.1%

18.8%

16.4%

19.0%

Satisfactory

27.4%

27.8%

26.8%

29.0%

26.2%

27.9%

27.3%

Poor

17.0%

18.7%

14.9%

16.8%

18.5%

20.0%

14.0%

Very poor

12.6%

12.6%

12.7%

26.2%

19.3%

13.1%

7.3%

 

Question 8:

Has the appointment of Chief Justice Tim Carmody changed your opinion of the Queensland judicial system?

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Positive change

12.1%

11.8%

12.6%

9.3%

8.0%

9.8%

16.5%

Negative change

36.4%

32.7%

41.2%

23.1%

32.8%

41.4%

35.9%

No change in opinion

51.4%

55.5%

46.2%

67.6%

59.2%

48.8%

47.6%

 

Question 9:

Has the Newman government’s reversal on key policies made you more or less likely to vote for the Liberal National Party at the next State election? 

 

7th Aug

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

More likely

20.6%

19.3%

22.3%

15.7%

18.0%

18.4%

24.5%

Less likely

35.7%

35.6%

35.8%

43.5%

40.3%

38.1%

30.4%

Vote unchanged

43.7%

45.1%

41.9%

40.7%

41.7%

43.5%

45.1%

 

 

7th Aug

LNP

Lab

Gre

PUP

More likely

20.6%

37.6%

8.2%

5.8%

10.2%

Less likely

35.7%

8.7%

57.1%

45.2%

53.8%

Vote unchanged

43.7%

53.7%

34.7%

49.0%

36.0%

 

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 1,883 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.