Blog

ReachTEL conducted a survey of 671 residents in the Queensland state electorate of Ashgrove on the night of 4th December 2014.

 

 

 

Question 1:

If a state election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote?

 

4th Dec

28th Sep

22nd July

Liberal National Party – Campbell Newman

40.7%

41.1%

39.1%

Labor – Kate Jones

47.9%

52.2%

47.5%

The Greens

5.7%

3.5%

7.5%

Palmer United Party

2.9%

1.7%

2.7%

Other

1.4%

1.4%

3.3%

Undecided

1.4%

n/a

n/a

 

Two party preferred result based on 2012 election distribution

 

 

LNP

45%

Labor

55%

 

Question 1a:

Of the following, what is your primary reason for not voting for Campbell Newman?

 

Total

Female

Male

18-34

35-50

51-65

65+

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

10.5%

15.0%

5.5%

4.7%

11.4%

9.6%

24.4%

Performance as a local member

13.0%

8.7%

17.6%

12.4%

12.1%

14.5%

15.6%

Performance as Premier

24.8%

27.5%

22.0%

31.0%

23.5%

24.1%

11.1%

Style of leadership

24.4%

25.1%

23.6%

19.4%

31.1%

22.9%

22.2%

Proposed asset leasing

14.7%

11.1%

18.7%

14.7%

9.1%

21.7%

17.8%

Other

12.5%

12.6%

12.6%

17.8%

12.9%

7.2%

8.9%

 

 

Total

Lab

Greens

PUP

Don’t normally vote for the LNP

10.5%

9.6%

7.9%

0.0% 

Performance as a local member

13.0%

13.7%

13.2%

10.5%

Performance as Premier

24.8%

22.0%

50.0%

36.8%

Style of leadership

24.4%

28.0%

7.9%

10.5%

Proposed asset leasing

14.7%

15.5%

7.9%

10.5%

Other

12.5%

11.2%

13.2%

31.6%

Note: Only respondents who didn’t vote for LNP in Question 1 were asked Question 1a.

 

Question 2:

If you were forced to choose between the following two candidates, who do you think would make the better member for Ashgrove?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Campbell Newman

44.3%

43.4%

45.3%

50.5%

36.4%

41.3%

52.6%

Kate Jones

55.7%

56.6%

54.7%

49.5%

63.6%

58.7%

47.4%

 

Question 3:

How would you rate the performance of Campbell Newman as the member for Ashgrove?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Very good

31.1%

29.4%

32.7%

39.8%

25.8%

25.2%

32.6%

Good

11.6%

13.4%

9.7%

7.9%

11.5%

12.6%

17.9%

Satisfactory

16.2%

17.1%

15.3%

8.8%

16.6%

23.1%

22.1%

Poor

19.6%

16.6%

22.7%

20.8%

18.4%

22.4%

14.7%

Very poor

21.6%

23.4%

19.6%

22.7%

27.6%

16.8%

12.6%

 

Question 4:

How would you rate the performance of Campbell Newman as Queensland Premier?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Very good

29.8%

28.0%

31.8%

40.0%

23.1%

22.9%

31.6%

Good

10.6%

14.3%

6.5%

6.0%

12.0%

11.1%

16.8%

Satisfactory

11.1%

9.7%

12.8%

7.4%

9.3%

17.4%

14.7%

Poor

18.8%

18.9%

18.7%

8.8%

24.5%

25.7%

17.9%

Very poor

29.7%

29.1%

30.2%

37.7%

31.0%

22.9%

18.9%

 

Question 5:

What is your opinion of the Labor candidate for Ashgrove Kate Jones?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Favourable

51.9%

54.0%

49.7%

44.4%

58.5%

57.3%

45.7%

Neutral

19.3%

20.9%

17.5%

14.4%

20.7%

18.9%

27.7%

Unfavourable

27.7%

23.1%

32.8%

38.4%

20.7%

23.8%

26.6%

Never heard of person

1.0%

2.0%

0.0%

2.8%

0.0% 

0.0% 

0.0% 

 

Question 6:

If Campbell Newman didn’t retain the seat of Ashgrove, who of the following would you prefer to take over as leader of the Liberal National Party?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 – 65

65+

Jeff Seeney

6.4%

6.0%

7.1%

7.4%

4.6%

5.6%

9.5%

Tim Nicholls

14.7%

12.5%

17.1%

12.0%

12.0%

18.1%

22.1%

Lawrence Springborg

32.2%

32.2%

32.0%

30.6%

32.3%

33.3%

33.7%

John-Paul Langebroek

18.0%

20.2%

15.5%

18.1%

19.4%

15.3%

18.9%

Scott Emerson

7.0%

7.4%

6.5%

6.0%

6.9%

8.3%

7.4%

Fiona Simpson

15.7%

18.5%

12.4%

17.1%

18.9%

15.3%

6.3%

Jarrod Bleijie

6.1%

3.1%

9.3%

8.8%

6.0%

4.2%

2.1%

 

 

Total

LNP

Labor

Greens

Jeff Seeney

6.4%

7.0%

6.2%

10.3%

Tim Nicholls

14.7%

23.1%

8.4%

5.1%

Lawrence Springborg

32.2%

33.7%

31.2%

28.2%

John-Paul Langebroek

18.0%

14.3%

22.4%

2.6%

Scott Emerson

7.0%

7.3%

7.2%

7.7%

Fiona Simpson

15.7%

6.2%

19.6%

43.6%

Jarrod Bleijie

6.1%

8.4%

5.0%

2.6%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 671 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.