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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,646 residents across Tasmania. The survey was conducted on the night of 11th September 2014. The survey was commissioned by The Mercury.

 

Question 1:

If a state election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote? If you are undecided to which do you have even a slight leaning.

 

Total

Bass 

Braddon 

Denison 

Franklin 

Lyons 

Liberal

48.1%

50.9% 

51.7% 

38.6% 

48.3% 

51.1% 

Labor

28.7%

28.9% 

29.8% 

33.6%

27.8%

23.4%

The Greens

16.0%

12.8%

8.5%

24.1%

18.3%

16.9%

PUP

3.7%

3.4%

6.6%

1.7%

2.5%

4.2%

Other

3.4%

3.9%

3.3%

2.1%

3.1%

4.4%

Sample

2,646

532

543

535

515

521

 

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 - 65

65+

Liberal

48.1%

46.2%

50.3%

44.4%

42.0%

47.8%

58.6%

Labor

28.7%

30.3%

27.1%

30.8%

30.0%

28.4%

25.9%

The Greens

16.0%

17.0%

14.9%

18.3%

17.1%

18.2%

10.2%

PUP

3.7%

2.6%

4.9%

2.3%

6.4%

3.3%

2.6%

Other

3.4%

3.9%

2.8%

4.2%

4.6%

2.3%

2.6%

 

Question 2:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Premier?

 

Total

Bass

Braddon

Denison

Franklin

Lyons

Will Hodgman

56.0%

62.8%

57.1%

49.3%

56.3%

54.7%

Bryan Green

25.3%

19.4%

31.9%

27.7%

22.7%

24.6%

Kim Booth

18.7%

17.9%

11.0%

23.0%

21.0%

20.7%

 

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 - 65

65+

Will Hodgman

56.0%

55.3%

56.8%

56.1%

49.7%

55.2%

63.7%

Bryan Green

25.3%

24.4%

26.2%

23.0%

28.8%

25.3%

23.3%

Kim Booth

18.7%

20.2%

17.0%

20.9%

21.4%

19.5%

13.0%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Will Hodgman

56.0%

96.1%

20.9%

7.3%

Bryan Green

25.3%

2.6%

66.9%

20.1%

Kim Booth

18.7%

1.3%

12.2%

72.6%

 

Question 3:

How would you rate last months State Budget?

 

Total

Bass

Braddon

Denison

Franklin

Lyons

Very good

14.6%

17.9%

11.0%

14.0%

14.2%

15.7%

Good

20.2%

20.9%

23.8%

14.2%

21.7%

20.3%

Satisfactory

29.1%

24.8%

26.3%

31.3%

30.7%

32.4%

Poor

19.7%

21.4%

23.4%

18.5%

19.6%

15.4%

Very poor

16.5%

15.0%

15.5%

21.9%

13.8%

16.1%

 

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 - 65

65+

Very good

14.6%

11.9%

17.4%

14.8%

13.8%

15.8%

13.8%

Good

20.2%

19.7%

20.6%

16.0%

14.6%

20.1%

30.0%

Satisfactory

29.1%

31.7%

26.3%

25.6%

30.1%

29.1%

30.8%

Poor

19.7%

21.5%

17.8%

21.4%

21.7%

18.5%

17.5%

Very poor

16.5%

15.2%

17.8%

22.1%

19.7%

16.5%

8.0%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Very good

14.6%

28.9%

0.4%

2.1%

Good

20.2%

36.5%

6.9%

1.7%

Satisfactory

29.1%

27.5%

32.5%

27.4%

Poor

19.7%

4.5%

32.5%

38.4%

Very poor

16.5%

2.7%

27.7%

30.4%

 

Question 4:

How would you rate the Hodgman Government's performance on job creation?

 

Total

Bass

Braddon

Denison

Franklin

Lyons

Very good

11.2%

13.2%

10.9%

9.7%

11.3%

10.8%

Good

17.1%

17.9%

19.3%

14.8%

17.7%

15.8%

Satisfactory

26.3%

26.1%

26.9%

22.2%

28.9%

27.5%

Poor

24.4%

24.8%

18.8%

31.4%

24.9%

22.3%

Very poor

21.0%

18.0%

24.1%

21.9%

17.3%

23.7%

 

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 - 65

65+

Very good

11.2%

8.4%

14.1%

12.7%

9.1%

12.0%

11.0%

Good

17.1%

17.8%

16.3%

15.3%

14.8%

15.8%

22.6%

Satisfactory

26.3%

26.9%

25.6%

26.8%

22.7%

22.9%

33.5%

Poor

24.4%

27.7%

21.0%

18.5%

28.4%

26.9%

22.7%

Very poor

21.0%

19.2%

23.0%

26.7%

25.0%

22.4%

10.2%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Very good

11.2%

20.8%

0.5%

3.1%

Good

17.1%

32.4%

3.9%

0.7%

Satisfactory

26.3%

35.6%

20.8%

10.4%

Poor

24.4%

7.2%

41.2%

43.5%

Very poor

21.0%

4.0%

33.6%

42.3%

 

Question 5:

Do you support the move to extend all state schools to Years 11 and 12?

 

6th March

11th Sep

Bass

Braddon

Denison

Franklin

Lyons

Support

61.6%

55.6%

51.9%

53.2%

59.0%

57.1%

57.0%

Oppose

23.1%

23.3%

23.1%

27.6%

24.7%

21.6%

19.0%

Undecided

15.4%

21.1%

25.0%

19.2%

16.3%

21.4%

24.0%

 

 

6th March

11th Sep

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 - 65

65+

Support

61.6%

55.6%

56.5%

54.6%

61.3%

55.4%

51.4%

55.4%

Oppose

23.1%

23.3%

21.2%

25.5%

21.3%

26.4%

26.8%

17.7%

Undecided

15.4%

21.1%

22.3%

19.9%

17.4%

18.3%

21.8%

26.9%

 

 

6th March

11th Sep

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Support

61.6%

55.6%

65.7%

48.6%

40.6%

Oppose

23.1%

23.3%

14.5%

30.8%

33.7%

Undecided

15.4%

21.1%

19.8%

20.7%

25.7%

 

Question 6:

Do you support tourism development in our national parks?

 

6th March

11th Sep

Bass

Braddon

Denison

Franklin

Lyons

Support

62.2%

62.8%

69.5%

64.5%

55.2%

61.4%

63.5%

Oppose

17.5%

16.9%

10.0%

13.1%

22.2%

19.4%

20.2%

Undecided

20.3%

20.2%

20.5%

22.5%

22.6%

19.2%

16.3%

 

 

6th March

11th Sep

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 - 65

65+

Support

62.2%

62.8%

58.8%

67.2%

64.5%

61.6%

59.3%

66.8%

Oppose

17.5%

16.9%

16.3%

17.5%

11.3%

19.0%

21.1%

14.8%

Undecided

20.3%

20.2%

24.9%

15.3%

24.2%

19.4%

19.6%

18.4%

 

 

6th March

11th Sep

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Support

62.2%

62.8%

77.0%

59.2%

30.0%

Oppose

17.5%

16.9%

7.8%

16.6%

41.1%

Undecided

20.3%

20.2%

15.1%

24.2%

28.8%

 

Question 7:

Do you support the proposal for a cable car project on Mt Wellington?

 

Total

Bass

Braddon

Denison

Franklin

Lyons

Support

59.2%

69.6%

61.8%

47.9%

53.7%

62.8%

Oppose

24.3%

12.9%

19.1%

36.4%

32.9%

20.3%

Undecided

16.5%

17.4%

19.1%

15.7%

13.4%

16.9%

 

 

Total

Female

Male

18 – 34

35 – 50

51 - 65

65+

Support

59.2%

56.8%

61.7%

61.5%

62.5%

57.6%

55.3%

Oppose

24.3%

25.5%

23.0%

20.9%

23.0%

26.6%

26.0%

Undecided

16.5%

17.7%

15.3%

17.6%

14.5%

15.8%

18.7%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Support

59.2%

69.5%

57.8%

32.2%

Oppose

24.3%

13.7%

26.6%

49.6%

Undecided

16.5%

16.8%

15.7%

18.2%

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,646 voters. The data has been weighted to reflect the population age and gender distribution as provided by the ABS. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.