Blog

11 March 2017

The West Australian - WA state poll - 9 March 2017

Image: 

ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,573 residents across Western Australia. The survey was conducted the night of 9th March 2017.

 

 

 

Question 1:

If a state election were to be held today, which of the following will receive your first preference vote?

 

Total 

After undecided

Liberal

32.7% 

34.0% 

The Nationals

5.8% 

6.1% 

Labor

40.3% 

41.3% 

The Greens

6.3% 

6.4%

One Nation

6.6%

7.0%

Other / Independent

4.7%

5.2%

Undecided

3.5%

 

 

Two-party preferred:

Undecided votes distributed as per Question 1a and preferences distributed as per Question 1b:

 

Total 

Liberal / Nat

46% 

Labor

54%

 

Question 1a:

Being undecided to which of the following do you have even a slight leaning?

 

Total 

Liberal

35.2% 

 

The Nationals

8.8% 

 

Labor

26.4% 

 

The Greens

2.2% 

 

One Nation

12.1% 

 

Other / Independent

15.4%

 

Respondents included are only those who answered ‘Undecided’ to Question 1

 

Question 1b:

Which of the follow parties would you preference highest?

 

Total

Liberal

46.7%

Labor

53.3%

Note: Only those respondents that didn’t choose ‘Liberal’ or ‘Labor’ in Question 1 were included in Question 2 

 

Question 2:

Who of the following do you think would make the better Premier?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

Colin Barnett

43.5% 

40.9% 

46.8%

36.3%

38.8%

42.0%

47.0%

Mark McGowan

56.5%

59.1%

53.2%

63.8%

61.2%

58.0%

53.0%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Und

Colin Barnett

43.5%

96.1%

4.1%

11.1%

38.5%

Mark McGowan

56.5%

3.9%

95.9%

88.9%

61.5%


Question 3:

Which of the two major parties do you believe is better able to improve the economy?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

Liberal

45.2%

42.4%

48.8%

30.6%

43.6%

44.3%

48.5%

Labor

54.8%

57.6%

51.2%

69.4%

56.4%

55.7%

51.5%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

ONP

Und

Liberal

45.2%

96.9%

3.5%

14.8%

55.6%

45.1%

Labor

54.8%

3.1%

96.5%

85.2%

44.4%

54.9%

  

Question 4:

Which of the two major parties do you believe is better able to restore the State Government’s finances?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

Liberal

45.7%

42.7%

49.5%

36.9%

43.6%

43.6%

49.1%

Labor

54.3%

57.3%

50.5%

63.1%

56.4%

56.4%

50.9%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

ONP

Und

Liberal

45.7%

96.0%

4.9%

15.4%

60.2%

46.2%

Labor

54.3%

4.0%

95.1%

84.6%

39.8%

53.8%

 

 

Question 5:

Which of the two major parties do you believe is better able to reduce crime?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

Liberal

44.6%

42.3%

47.4%

32.5%

41.0%

43.0%

48.5%

Labor

55.4%

57.7%

52.6%

67.5%

59.0%

57.0%

51.5%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

ONP

Und

Liberal

44.6%

93.3%

6.2%

13.0%

52.6%

46.2%

Labor

55.4%

6.7%

93.8%

87.0%

47.4%

53.8%

 

Question 6:

Which of the two major parties do you believe is better able to build the infrastructure the State needs?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

Liberal

46.3%

44.1%

48.9%

35.6%

45.7%

45.1%

48.8%

Labor

53.7%

55.9%

51.1%

64.4%

54.3%

54.9%

51.2%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

ONP

Und

Liberal

46.3%

94.5%

7.5%

15.4%

56.7%

52.7%

Labor

53.7%

5.5%

92.5%

84.6%

43.3%

47.3%

 

Question 7:

Which of the two major parties do you believe is better able to provide essential social services such as health and education?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

Liberal

39.5%

37.9%

41.4%

28.1%

34.4%

36.3%

44.8%

Labor

60.5%

62.1%

58.6%

71.9%

65.6%

63.7%

55.2%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

ONP

Und

Liberal

39.5%

86.9%

2.8%

9.3%

53.2%

27.5%

Labor

60.5%

13.1%

97.2%

90.7%

46.8%

72.5%


 Question 8:

Which of the following is your main reason for voting Labor?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

I usually vote Labor

12.2%

12.2%

12.3%

10.3%

11.5%

13.3%

12.1%

It’s time for a change of Government

27.2%

29.7%

24.0%

25.9%

27.6%

27.5%

27.2%

I don’t want Western Power to be privatised

27.0%

25.3%

29.2%

29.3%

21.8%

24.4%

30.3%

I don’t like the Roe 8 highway project

6.7%

8.0%

5.0%

10.3%

6.4%

7.2%

5.9%

I don’t like Colin Barnett

16.3%

15.2%

17.7%

15.5%

17.3%

14.4%

17.4%

Some other reason

10.5%

9.7%

11.7%

8.6%

15.4%

13.1%

7.2%

 

 

Total

Labor

Und

I usually vote Labor

12.2%

12.3%

8.3%

It’s time for a change of Government

27.2%

27.4%

20.8%

I don’t want Western Power to be privatised

27.0%

26.6%

45.8%

I don’t like the Roe 8 highway project

6.7%

6.8%

4.2%

I don’t like Colin Barnett

16.3%

16.5%

8.3%

Some other reason

10.5%

10.4%

12.5%

Note: Only respondents who answered ‘Labor’ to Question 1 and Question 1a were asked Question 8

 

Question 9:

The Liberal Party has done a preference deal with Pauline Hanson’s One Nation party. Do you agree with the Liberals’ decision to enter into a preference deal with One Nation?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

Agree

22.3%

18.4%

27.1%

17.6%

23.5%

21.5%

23.0%

Disagree

60.7%

63.0%

57.9%

69.8%

61.7%

62.1%

58.3%

Undecided

17.0%

18.6%

14.9%

12.6%

14.8%

16.4%

18.7%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

ONP

Und

Agree

22.3%

45.6%

2.9%

4.9%

56.7%

12.1%

Disagree

60.7%

30.3%

86.3%

82.7%

24.6%

63.7%

Undecided

17.0%

24.1%

10.8%

12.3%

18.7%

24.2%

  

Question 10:

Will the fact that the Liberals have done a preference deal with One Nation make you more or less likely to vote for the Liberal Party in the State Election?

 

Total

Female

Male

18 - 34

35 - 50

51 - 65

65+

More likely

20.7%

19.2%

22.6%

16.3%

18.7%

18.8%

23.3%

Less likely

40.9%

42.6%

38.7%

53.8%

44.5%

44.6%

35.3%

Vote unchanged

38.4%

38.2%

38.7%

30.0%

36.8%

36.6%

41.3%

 

 

Total

Liberal

Labor

Greens

ONP

Und

More likely

20.7%

39.1%

6.7%

6.8%

46.2%

9.9%

Less likely

40.9%

13.2%

58.9%

66.0%

21.6%

48.4%

Vote unchanged

38.4%

47.7%

34.4%

27.2%

32.2%

41.8%

 

This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,573 voters. The data has been weighted to reflect the population age and gender distribution as provided by the ABS. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.